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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Probably getting 3-4” but she coming. -
At least I took my grumbles into banter, lol
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12/14: Sunday funday? Will the south win again?
Solution Man replied to TSSN+'s topic in Mid Atlantic
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12/14: Sunday funday? Will the south win again?
Maestrobjwa replied to TSSN+'s topic in Mid Atlantic
We're a little outnumbered by the southies in this forum, lol -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Still waiting on the Euro myself -
this is for the panic room. we can't have bad energy anywhere else lol
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Nuce snow showers out here today. Dusted. Light snow 33 degrees.
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Regarding trend analysis. You should include hypothesis testing and p-values to assess the statistical significance of the trend. Most random scatterplots will show a non-statistically significant linear trend... so you have to analyze if the trend means anything. By visual inspection, the negative trends are largely due to lower-snow years starting in 2015. It could be argued that this down-cycle explains the trend and will be reversed after the next up-cycle. I do believe warmer winter temperatures are affecting seasonal snowfall. But snow is a tricky parameter to analyze and statistical analysis can be very misleading if not presented faithfully.
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I can actually agree with this, but don't think it'll be much. You're in a better spot for this if it verifies
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might be time for a delete of the storm thread if the EURO shifts badly
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Same, but I need other guidance to get better today, or it's time to bail. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Cold Miser replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
This is funny shi.t. -
Canadian has seemingly wanted to send it north this whole time save for some wavering last night/this morning so it would be quite the coup for it if we get F’d
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The reverse pshyc failed for his area in the 12-2 event... so we're switching things up
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What are your thoughts of duration of the warmup/pattern change?
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
I don’t hate it. You could tell pretty early on it was going to be better. If you could just get it to crank a few hours earlier it could end up being a decent event for many -
A lot better. Looks almost like Ukie. Maybe not quite as juicy but pretty close.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Canadian is a pretty nice look, especially for eastern ma -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Chrisrotary12 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Only one showing any hope of changing this outlook is pre-Christmas wanna be grinch. -
I think this is key.
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Help us Obi Euro, you're our only hope
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
12z Canadian definitely going to be better than 00z -
Minor snow possible sunday 12/14/25
MJO812 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
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12/14: Sunday funday? Will the south win again?
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to TSSN+'s topic in Mid Atlantic
Canadian skunks the whole subforum -
A pattern shift was inevitable but hopefully something comes back in our favor in January. I am not giving up just yet. I still would not entirely rule out a 6 inch plus event this year for this neck of the woods.
