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Precip began here as a heavy graupel shower. For some reason, graupel makes me laugh.

Huh its only Feb 10. That's a crazy thing to say. This weekend threat could still give us some minor accumulation before the warm up. Then who knows about March and April.

radar looks like a 7-10 split here with the heaviest returns.

flurries about 10 minutes ago, steady light snow now

Definitely looks that way for the foreseeable future.

Normal by then is 50's for Highs. May even be near 60 down there. I agree on the long standing winter cold pattern being over. Hopefully we land a perfectly timed powerful bowling ball or Late Season Miller A. Cutoff Low Season coming as well. Time those just right and good things can happen. Just throwing out some positive Vibes.

Flakes just started here.

Yep definitely AI

Mammoth has already received 10-13 inches of fresh pow in the past 24 hours. They will pile on another foot of freshies overnight. https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam

Thanks, I didn’t realize that it only went out to 84 hours.

probably end up with 2 or 3 by the time this is finished.. back edge looks to be moving quick

That's one of the best AI renderings of a genuine Snowgasm that I have ever seen.

I think I’m up to 4 now .. total flakes that is

https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&mod=cmc_gdps

I agree that we’re fairly cooked, but average snowfall from now until whenever snow is no longer possible is 15.9”. So we don’t even need 30% of that to get to normal.

Yeah just picked back up again extra nicely.

Nothing

wow, thats solid so far, i dont see how you dont make it to near 4 or maybe a little more

I know its highly subjective, but I'd give it an A. We had a little taste of everything, advisories, warnings, thundersnow, snow squalls, top 5 coldest stretch. If we manage to hit average snow Id say A+

This is where I am too. But I think we’re cooked for the season. We will see.

The period Feb 1-7, 2026 was in MJO phase 8 as per this image: Using Baltimore again as a proxy for the E US, Feb 1-7 was the coldest La Nina Feb phase 8 on record in terms of both average anomaly and cumulative anomaly. Keep in mind that -It averaged 9 BN. The prior coldest was 7 BN and that was just a one day period. -The cumulative anomaly was 66 BN over the 7 days. The prior largest cumulative Feb phase 8 La Niña anomaly was only 36 BN, which was over a 9 day period in mid Feb of 1999. Comparing this to other Feb MJO phases during La Niña: - This very cold phase 8’s cumulative anomaly of 66 BN is the third largest of all phases with only these two exceeding that: 1. Early Feb of 1996’s phase 3 added up to 84 BN over 7 days 2. Late Feb of 2008’s phase 1 added up to 70 BN over 10 days.

whiteout now just dumping snow

1.75"

If this were in the summer, wouldn't this be a mini drought with less than .1" of precipitation?Since the January storm?