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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Usually the seasonal guidance will be biased towards stock ENSO, so when a seasonal model shows that output leading into an intense El Nino episode, it should provide reason for pause. -
NYC hasn’t had a month with above normal precipitation since May 2025. So the last 12 months actually made the top 20 driest for June to May. This is impressive given the overall wetter pattern since 2003. Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Driest 6-1 through 5-31 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1966-05-31 27.85 0 2 1950-05-31 30.86 0 3 1965-05-31 30.93 0 4 1930-05-31 31.46 0 5 1954-05-31 32.13 0 6 1911-05-31 32.59 0 7 1959-05-31 32.63 0 8 2002-05-31 32.73 0 9 1882-05-31 33.45 0 10 1962-05-31 34.16 0 11 1877-05-31 34.24 0 12 1957-05-31 34.82 0 13 1963-05-31 35.08 0 - 1887-05-31 35.08 0 14 1955-05-31 35.17 0 15 1925-05-31 35.28 0 16 2026-05-31 35.44 0 17 1981-05-31 35.58 0 18 1907-05-31 36.03 0 19 1932-05-31 36.06 0 20 1892-05-31 36.23 0
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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
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couple more extremely comfortable days on tap before summer classic returns
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No real sign of prolonged heat.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
It over . Ahhhh - Today
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Down to 48. Last 40s until September?
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Min 42.5° Time to flush this
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hello summer thread. A beautiful crisp morning with a temp of 47 when I left the house, as our stretch of heavenly weather marches on. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
42 degree's this morning blue bird sky. Not a cloud. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We have a record 30C warm pool from the IO over to Nino 4. So the Nino forcing is linking up with forcing near the Maritime Continent. This is part of the reason that the models have the warmth in Canada and across the Northern Tier states as we head into June. -
With any luck the dew point with stay under 60 until Saturday
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Looks like a nice stretch incoming .
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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
The creator of this map is in the Midwest -
Brrrr 39F
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
US National Weather Service State College PA · SPRING 2026 | March+April+May | Driven by unusually warm temps in March & April, the 2026 spring season was one of the warmest in CPA Split Precip: Wet to the NW Dry to the SE Snow deficit throughout PA & Northeast U.S. 6/2/26|413am -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
WmsptWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
End of the forecast now shows the number 90. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Monday's high will probably bounce all over the place the next few days. Last night it showed 70, this morning, it's 77. Monday A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 40%. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Same... -
30 MVY lol
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
46 this morning. -
Down to 38F this am in E CT, glad we haven’t installed yet! I think this weeks weather is going to be a microcosm of the summer, some cool days, some normal days with occasional 90 degree days thrown in; don’t feel like we see any prolonged warmth.
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I helped my aunt eradicate some. It takes years and this is the method I used. You can also use triclopyr. The first step cannot be taken until late august/early September due to the timing of moving the chemical to the roots 1. Borrow injector gun from county if one is available. Fill it with *concentrated* glyphosate. Inject each knotweed stem below the first node. You may want some sort of paint spray to mark which ones you’ve sprayed 2. It will die off after step one, but the next year it will come back, much smaller. You can’t inject these stems anymore, so you spray the tops with glyphosate. Again, wait until august/sept. 3. It will all die off again, and then very very few will pop up in the following years. You should continue to spray them individually in august/sept every year until they are completely gone. There will be very little to do as it will be only one or two plants popping up. There is no other way to remove knotweed. You can’t cut it, you can’t mow it, nothing. Please do not compost it or transport it. You have to burn it once the stems have dried. It is ruthless because of its underground rhizome growth which can extend up to 10 ft below the soil surface. Don’t listen to anyone that tells you chemicals aren’t needed because you will waste time and likely spread it in the process of trying other methods. Remember that even a tiny piece can start a new plant. [here is what the injector gun might look like](https://snohomishcountywa.gov/2012/Knotweed-Stem-Injector)
