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That cell turned out to be wicked, turned into Quarter size hail. Lots of leaves down and a gust to 47 mph. Luckily it has moved North now and seems as if the vehicles didn’t get any damage.

Tornado warning just NE of Richmond.

Looks like another sneaky severe evening.

Congrats Freak and Dendy and Dryslot

Plenty of time to trend north which seems likely

Perfect track Fri/Sat for SNE. I don’t want to hear any bitching come winter now.

Had a decent downpour that got us to 0.15" for the day here. 0.55" for the event so far, which is pretty disappointing. Hopefully we'll get lucky with a t-storm tomorrow afternoon. If not, the advertised big soaking 4 day period is going end up a big disappointment. Definitely a big bust for the Euro model which showed ridiculously high amounts for days.

.71 so far. Radar looks anemic for now We’ll see how the 3-6” forecasts here some had and flood watches work out . Time will tell

1.2” today, 3” MTD

Just got warned BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 617 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Stafford County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Southern Prince William County in northern Virginia... * Until 645 PM EDT. * At 616 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles west of Stafford, moving north at 15 mph. HAZARD...Quarter size hail. SOURCE...A trained weather spotter observed quarter size hail in Glendie. IMPACT...Some hail damage to agriculture is expected. * Locations impacted include... Heflin, Ruby, Somerville, and Roseville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3841 7748 3840 7756 3854 7767 3858 7751 TIME...MOT...LOC 2216Z 158DEG 15KT 3842 7754 HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

I picked up a bunch of veggie plants today and was going to put them in this evening, but I’ll wait a day and keep them safe under the patio table. In other words, I’m jinxing myself out of any thunderstorms tonight.

Looking at RadarScope again I think it’ll scoot to my west, but I’ve heard rumbles in the distance, so who knows.

CT should be ok by Sat late morning but AEMATT may have a wettie

Storm total here now .92

mine's getting long and it's only Cinco de Mayo !

Just reported Nickel size hail in the cell that popped up basically over my house in Stafford, near Hartwood, VA.

0.23" of rain since this morning here in East Nantmeal this brings our 3 day total up to 1.51" of rain.

@aldie 22 gonna get recked

Yeah I saw that. Told my kid that it would slip to the N. Just got put under a warning for it by a sliver.

I also love my mistakes corrected in a civil manner. Be a dick get a dick has always been my philosophy.

It's actually getting weird...the cell by Brunswick is heading ne while almost every storm has gone nw. This area has been a storm magnet today.

You will take your watch and like it good sir

2-3' on the GFS end of the week into Saturday. Deformation and ratios TBD.

Once again, I'm not claiming to be anything close to Ace, but I enjoy pretending, lol. To my amateur eye, IAD just needed a little more veering to the north in the mid to upper levels and a little cooling above 250mb, and IAD would have had some sig hail issues today . Unfortunately, the latest sounding for IAD has lost most of its juju and really narrowed the cape field down to a sliver. Im assuming the warming above 225mb and those little inversions from about 675mb down to 950mb are a marine layer and to blame . I realize we are not in Baltimore, but it's the closest observed sounding I know of to practice with. I'm not ruling out any thunderstorms or rain this evening just pointing out something I noticed at IAD.