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  2. Well Wiz promised the circled red area would get crushed so there’s hope !
  3. Looks like -WPO is favored next winter? Would fit with the theme of the recent shift.
  4. The map looks like something @MJO812drew up on the shitter, but I largely endorse the narrative.
  5. The list is different for each station due to local dew point variations. The record for Newark was set in 1995. That Feb 33 reading is an obvious error. While the JFK record was back in 2016.
  6. Yes this whole streak and Yanks collapse has greatly contributed to that I fully admit
  7. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  8. The final nail will be when SNH, Ineedsnow and Ray get another unmodeled squalline that develops at 11 PM and rips thru that area
  9. Increased Severe Threat for the Region
  10. Oh it is happening. Like I can already picture the radar this evening . I’ll be on my 3rd IPA, refreshing radar with anticipation and then watching those 4 things I described happen and go to bed sad and angry again
  11. I agree with this. Although its getting warmer everywhere on average, we’re also seeing a lot more variance with wavier jet streams and stronger ridges that act as a double edged sword - bringing extreme heat underneath, and pulling down colder air from the upper latitudes of the ridges. This is a well researched and documented artifact of AGW. If we get periods of -AO/-NAO during this super nino, they should be very interesting.
  12. Don’t laugh but it probably will happen. Enjoy the cirrus, Ira the only cirrus you got.
  13. Can’t wait to watch Newark get their 8th hurricane force wind gust, the NYC subway flooded for the 5th time , DXR have 2000 lightning strikes in 7 minutes and Seymour over 30” of rain from this next round of storms .
  14. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  15. If I understand what you are showing, the two pairs find a shift of -1.67 and -1.44 respectively for West Chester 2NW's April 1970's move. Averaging 12 station to station pairs before the move, and 16 after. It would be straightforward to identify the non-move segments of local stations, and use those to test the others iteratively, building up a timeline for all stations. Assuming all of the station moves are at HOMR or on the 530-1s, that would still leave the TOB changes. Coatesville 1 SW switched from 8 PM to 8 AM & 8 PM at the end of October 1921, effectively eliminating the double counting of daily highs, shifting the time series down by 1.4 deg F.
  16. Summers have been quiet overall. Except in Seymour CT.
  17. NWS screwed the pooch yesterday morning by putting zero pops for Fairfax County in the 4 a.m. forecast. I'm sure I'm not the only one who trusted them and left my umbrella home!
  18. Today
  19. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  20. Make that 6 inches in Charlottesville the first 6 days of August
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