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What we have been talking about in graphics.

Made it to 63° here +1

One knows, the other does not know.

Not much change at all in the Atlantic the last month @Stormchaserchuck1….

Thank you

So far a high of 69. A rare August day staying in the 60s?

up to .38 which doubles my monthly total plus .03

Been thundering here for last 30-40 minutes, waiting for the water.... currently 82.0/71.1 at 3:15 pm.

Ok, well, I don't believe that. It's not 10C (18F!) warmer in a sunny neighborhood versus a shady one if the thermometer is properly sheltered or aspirated. My car thermometer doesn't register anywhere near that difference and it's housed like a foot or so above the asphalt.

Nah NoP.

Record low high temp at ORH is 60. On the hourly we seem likely to break it but probably on the 5 min data it'll end up a tie, barring some late brief spike

I'm actually growing more and more optimistic by the week for this winter. Small positives adding up like QBO, N ATL SSTA, negative ENSO anomalies concentrating east of 140W....still super early and seasonal forecasting is still super high variance, but I'd rather have small positives in our favor than not.

There were a couple folks on here that said that several times. Not sure who they are but they are very fine folks. Big credit to them.

ya looks like we cool back down after a brief warm up.. atleast 90s look to be done for the year here.. I think we had 6 of them? which is well above for here

Actually, weirdly enough this will make the third straight below normal August. What's more striking Is the practically non-existent humidity. Some folks couldn't have been more wrong.

.04" with mist.

.18 at my station

That shows near surface too (the top temperature on it) and there are a million examples online from sites you probably whack to. I will wait for Tips answer since he is actually smart and has the credentials and you really didn't answer anything at all.

Is that an outer eye wall forming? New ERC ongoing?

Congrats HFD and south. . That’s the rain Jack . North of there meh

I think the only thing holding Erin from regaining cat 3 is that dry slot near the center. If it can clear that out, we probably will get some intensification.

Looks like the core is well protected for now. Very impressive MW.

I don’t have pcp amounts IMBY, but we’ve been in a steady rain for well over an hour. Maybe it’s the south shores turn

2:00 PM EDT Wed Aug 20 Location: 30.6°N 73.6°W Moving: N at 13 mph Min pressure: 943 mb Max sustained: 110 mph Nice clear eye now, but some dry air near the center of circulation But the wider view looks like it has good outflow to all quadrants.

GWDLT