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Mammoth latest webcam snap shot. This is just an incredible storm for them. When they are getting blitzed, we are having extremely warm weather as a rule. The cold shot we will have for a couple of days Sunday-Tuesday is unusual for us when they are getting hammered. (They have another 3-5 feet event predicted Tuesday and Wednesday) The PNA is neutral, near record cold in Alaska is possible, and the AO/NAO are opposite of where we need them. It will be hard to turn that around enough to have many winter chances for non-elevated areas before the season is essentially over in mid-March. We may see flakes in the air, but impactful snow for most areas is likely done until next late November or December. All in all the winter was decent here for frozen, but could have been much better with the two cold periods we got. The Ohio Valley, and Northeast cashed in this winter. The Rockies struggled mightily but winter ends there in May, so all hope isn't lost for them.

If it were up to me, tomorrow midday after 12z runs come in would probably be a good time to issue watches. One thing going for NWS is that this storm doesn’t happen during commute, at least until it’s over New England

GEFS west at 78

Gefs are coming in more tucked in wooof

And could, But, You, Luke and i need more longitude for this as well as lat at others expense.

Ukie looks quite a bit different at 33. More interaction between the NS and ss

Rain just cleansed the roads too. Could be crazy times if GFS is right

UKMET is more GFS like with the NS at 39. We'll see how that translates.

I agree with you. A couple of inches possible around NYC..

This is going to happen. I finally have a weekend where I'm not on call at work, and my wife just surprised me with the last tickets to the Lord of the Rings: Return of the King in Frederick Sunday evening. I've never seen this in theaters and it's the last showing in the entire state.

See yall on Sunday

Anyone have an early Ukie?

GEFS are west of 18z

24” is definitely worth forgoing 12”.

00z GFS

Almost the entire southeast is now in severe drought with extreme drought quickly expanding. Last weekends rain did very little and this week drying up has turned away yet another opportunity to dent the drought. We could really use a gfs-like scenario for drought relief with Sundays system

This is IMPORTANT yall. I'm in a precarious situation. The Euro will determine if weeks worth of shut out is worth it. This is a PDS situation.

I thought it looked great at h500 at 72hrs, then made a huge convection jump at 78hrs.

My bedroom is your bedroom. My wife will sleep on the couch.

Got 4 beds in Haymarket

LBSW?

Caught me.

00z GEFS went west cluster hugs the coast more

Could end up a drift tease of clouds and light snow but better than tracking cold fronts.

GFS:East coast snowstorms in a Nina DCA:Measuring