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I thought it was supposed to rain today? Models had light QPF midday and yet it’s sunny and 50s up here. Amazing win for several hours here.
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Hoping we can pull a 90 this April
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Warm and muggy today, mid 70s in March. It's hard to remember it's still just March as we've had so many of these days this month. The NAO is very positive, but there has been a less than ideal 500mb pattern for very warm days this month in the W. Pacific (+EPO/+WPO usually drives major March warm ups - the WPO hasn't been positive this month). -
60!
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Happy Opening Day to all who celebrate. Go Sox! -
Yes this is a definite concern for many of us. Hoping for a turn for the better in our weather pattern but who knows when that might be
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Was lucky enough to catch several flashes during the April 2018 blizzard.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I looked at my temp about an hour ago and it was 67...and now it's already up to 75! -
Today’s weather is incredible, but lol at these temp swings lately. Some consistency would be nice.
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That sounds absolutely horrendous.
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GWDLT. 59 and mostly sunny. Beautiful spring day.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Another stellar day so far, while we wait for potential thunderstorms later. - Today
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definately wine. i can only go by snow pack in my yard. last year the last trace was gone on 3/17. this year i still have some piles hanging on. also, last March averaged 2 degrees warmer than this March so far.
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I’m drier than SNH. Makes total sense.
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Warm season already underway there.
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Latest NAO and AO predictions are showing it staying positive now. Expect the models to warm up.
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Latest NAO and AO predictions are showing it staying positive now. Expect the models to warm up.
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Pretty strong opposite correlation (-WPO) Sept-Nov 2025 Before +WPO Winter (opposite for -WPO) Clear pattern -
2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Do you have an image from this past fall to illustrate how it lead the big -WPO winter? -
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
rcostell replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Thats a pretty sensible demarcation, actually. Would give critical mass/ synergies to a couple "quiet" subforms, too. -
2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Western Pacific and Indian Ocean seems to definitely lead Winter WPO, SSTA-wise. -
2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
WPO is the index I have struggled with the most......I went big -WPO winter 2024-2025 and it was EPO instead....this past season I went big -EPO and it was -WPO. N Pac is a PIA.
