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All snow in northern Macon county. Hopefully I can pick up an inch tonight. Good luck everyone and stay safe.

Yes the big blizzard shown was very likely unrealistic but wouldn’t count out a SECS just yet.

NAM ridge out west is a smidge higher, but can't say I like the slightly flatter flow out front so far. Yes, it's the NAM. But we got nothing else until the real deal runs.

18z GEFS also likes the late next week potential.

Screenshot this, and look again next week. Helps keep things in perspective.

Really? I don’t remember it doing that on modeling? But ok.

That kickoff system was modeled as a 12-16 incher in the mid range, and bumped NW last min leading to mixing and changeover to rain cutting down on totals in eastern areas. The follow up threat…. That went from 0-100 on guidance inside 5 days.

Really strong signal for this range on the 18z AI EPS for Next weekend.

AI GEFS

And this was my point, that system was what kicked it all off. Yes, that season was a rat up to that late January point. This one, so far anyway is much better for us here in CT, than that one was for us, as you point out. And I learned something tonight, and that was that the kickoff system in ‘15 that we’ve been discussing, was better than I thought it was for a lot of the area. It just wasn’t that good here in my town. As I said, I wasn’t trying to downplay it, was just going on my backyard for that, and it wasn’t as good here. Didn’t realize it was pretty decent in a lot of other places. Cool.

I didn't do as well those east but I was in between you guys and the big dogs. I remember going east for work and was amazed at the pack they had. I have pictures somewhere but don't think I'll ever find them.

This is the best sounding I have seen for SBN since...the internet age started? Unidirectional NNW winds from the ground to heaven, virtually no inversion, and insane omega in the DGZ. Wow.

Maybe we should see if harbaugh wants to coach the giants and be GM of the Rangers, 2 for 1 deal

Jonathan Quick looks like he's still got it

Yet

I mean it's only 6-0, it's not like it's 9-0

Does euro still have the bias of holding energy toward the SW too long, or has that been corrected?

I would post a picture from SLK, but I’m worried that would jinx that location the rest of the winter Heading back up next week.

See, You never know bro….

Yeah the temp is dropping off fast.

I cant the guy who got me the tix is sitting here i feel bad lol. Just gonna keep drinking till it doesnt suck anymore

EPS are so flat at 18z, gotta think those trend west at 0z given the other guidance

Yeah I don’t actually even disagree with this but these last 4 winters has zapped my ability to have any optimism I think.

Definitely around 4” here in Royal Oak, I was only expecting this to be around an inch. Nice bust in the opposite direction.

18z RGEM & NAM were interested in a Saturday light event as well for us.