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  2. I can see early dismissals for places in central VA, even far southern MD, but don't see it for the capitol region. The squall should be late enough in the day not to matter for places along I-95. Even so, the safest place for kids would be in schools. The issue is panicked parents rushing to pick up kids and getting caught up exposed in the parking lot.
  3. We've had several moderate risks.There's been at least two in the last couple of years. And then theres May 31 1999 High Risk. Although they all had their damage and problems, none of them we're locally catastrophic.
  4. needless to say, many of the people bitching about early school releases would be the first one screeching if a twig hit junior's school bus on the way home
  5. Sleet now mixing with large flakes.
  6. The trend is our friend. Ready for it between Woodstock and Hebron. .
  7. Shift change at LOT. WWA expanded as well.
  8. Yesterday
  9. 37/27 Guidance is too cold tonight. Dont see temp moving much at all from here on overcast skies and persistent SE winds. Dews will trickle up all night…temp constant.. We’re gonna be left with just the parking lot piles after this storm.
  10. The NAMs and HRR both keep the extreme severe stuff south of the PA border.
  11. The parameter space is obviously interesting. Just not seeing a lot of support for something really taking advantage of it. If a storm can get rooted, game on.
  12. Just got added to the blizzard warning
  13. Probably gonna age badly but the prefrontal cells that are firing on the models verbatim don’t look that impressive. Sheared out and more like crapvection that minimizes the threat of the line later a bit. Quote me tomorrow though when the EF3 runs over my head.
  14. Picked up about 15" of cement from the clipper, picked up about 6" this morning, changed over to heavy sleet, fz rain the past several hours. Hoping it stays more sleet over here. Adding .5 to 1" of freezing rain on top of this would be a knockout.
  15. We've switched over to sleet here, and down to 31.
  16. My NWS forecast says 3-7", but as the models have continued to inch eastward, I am only expecting 2-3 inches now.
  17. Yeah nightmare fuel. I think odds are higher in the road than off the road tho
  18. At the minimum I’ll have a free skating rink for 36 hours
  19. Both teams are grasping for the playoffs which really doesn't matter at this point. Sixers are in worse shape than the Flyers due to Embiid and Georges ridiculously insane contracts. They are screwed for years. Bottom line, it's up to the Birds or Phils to generate some winning interest...
  20. I like the rogue supercell potential showing. I might even chase if there's a good target zone away from highways. I like chasing on the Eastern Shore and northern Md. Neither look great for this. We'll see.
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