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Well I am changing my tune now. The HP isn't much different access models. But the main thing is how much Baja energy is injected. UK and CMC fully pull it east into the system. While the ICON and GFS don't. That amps the up the storm more than anything

My Greatest Creation. Absolutely legendary pull

Well that’s you, speak for yourself. It’s like @Bob Chill says, you don’t get the opportunity much…so when it comes you try and make the most. If I get 8” imby I’ll be thrilled, but I’d take 20 if it was possible within reason.

I really hope this is snow and not ice, not just because ice sucks, but also because Asheville and the surrounding area could really use a break from infrastructure-wreaking storms.

Looks like Nashville is in the basement playing ping pong.

TikTok is going to explode with this .

Already a better poster than BlueHat. A true weenie!

I think CT-RI-SE MA could get a decent event, but tough sell points north.

I'm more so speaking from a we get the 0z Euro run where its a good foot of snow area wide. I would love a HECS but for now I'm discounting that happening.

I should probably hold off on posting these images tbh. LOL! The social media panic is read. Looking to get ahead of it tomorrow AM with some propane tank refills. That Canadian run did not sit well with me. Also just saw I recently passed my 15 year mark on here. An AmericanWX lifer for sure

If you would consult the graph

I'm talking about model skill....not cold.

Not til at least Wednesday

Honestly I'm not aiming for an HECS. Give me 8" right now and I'll sign.

It’s far from figured out bud. For your area, it’s a much harder lift. Down here in SNE, we got a shot for sure. We watch is all.

The Lions do have a 4th place schedule to look forward to. Provided they get a good OC and can managed to stay healthy (Lions + 49ers have both have thw worst luck with injuries for multiple season), things can only go up.

I mean, close enough to watch, but certainly needs work...doesn't look to be much room to me.

I’d say 00z overnight wed/thurs am. for hecs level results, we’re banking on a phase between nrn and srn stream waves out west. We haven’t even sampled that atmosphere yet, so we are playing a dangerous game right now by getting excited over the cmc and ukie. Ngl, I’m briefly envisioning those results imby, but let’s be smart about this. (Generally speaking, not directed at you specifically)

UKMET is a top 5 snowfall from DC to Harrisburg to Philly. Would rival PDII, '96, 2009-2010, and 2016 in many spots.

I'm late and scrolled every page. Mid day models are cooking. Double M&Ms please.

FWIW, the 12z GFS is absolutely burying your area.

This forum is going to be in Storm Mode for two weeks lol.

MEM,seems to be gaining confidence

I think this is what @40/70 Benchmark was alluding to in his seasonal outlook—kudos to him.

The UKMET having rain in NE GA in that setup is funny