All Activity

Finally starting to see elements of the 2023, 2015, and 1997 late August into September patterns show up in the analog composite.

Thankfully no misery mist in Southborough. We'll see about 11 miles east when I get to the woodyard.

Only 27 more to go to tie the record for most tornadoes on record in any state. Not sure it’ll happen but it’ll be remarkably close. What a crazy spring/summer

Might change over.

Don't look now DMV but more rain coming up on you this time from the SSE. I think the Mid Atlantic is already getting El Nino'ed some.

Does anyone have the latest forecast H85 zonal wind anomaly forecast for 5N to 5S? None of the ones that I usually access are updated...

My area has been extremely wet. I think in the eastern 40% of US it has matched the trend Everyone is saying it's because of El Nino, I think it's a 10-year thing happening. The Fall will be a better indicator of how wet the Nino STJ is.

The super el nino years 1972 and 1982 appear in the wettest composite. 1957 is the only robust el nino that appears in the driest. Interesting to note that a lot of the driest years produced some very cold/snowy winters.

^The African wave made it onto the 8PM TWO as a lemon. 0Z UKMET: TCG delayed 24 hrs vs prior 2 runs. Again becomes a TS (delayed 12 hrs) that remains low end moving a million mph WNW in MDR:NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURSFORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 11.7N 28.4WLEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WINDVERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------1200UTC 26.08.2026 108 11.4N 30.4W 1008 300000UTC 27.08.2026 120 11.9N 34.6W 1007 331200UTC 27.08.2026 132 11.8N 38.7W 1005 360000UTC 28.08.2026 144 12.6N 43.0W 1006 371200UTC 28.08.2026 156 13.4N 47.5W 1006 370000UTC 29.08.2026 168 14.7N 52.3W 1007 39

Here's a very good meteorological discussion of the tornadoes in Dover and Long Island NY.

I felt my buddy would have some better pictures from the tornado, damage in both Eastern York and Colombia but unfortunately, there was nothing really groundbreaking there. However, here's the 42lb Flathead my buddy landed with a light action, bass rod and 12lb test after one, hell of a half hour battle in a gnarly exposed diabase hole in Colombia last night.

Tornado Alley runs thru IL!

This large tornado-warned supercell has gone straight southwards towards Sterling, Colorado

May was my wettest month. July and August have been dry.