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I’m hugging 0z Nam haha smokes us.

That’s us though. For every victory we’ve had here it’s been a defeat there. That’s tough in any year, but compounded with nearly a decade of it I get the pessimism. I really like the look going forward but people out there need to see to believe.

And then?

Thread started for tomorrow. You scaredy cats! LOL!

For those looking at the HRRR

Nam looks better for round 1

I was deep in the IPA game for a long time and I’d agree that there wasn’t much between Treehouse and OH. I always felt that Trilium had the better of either two. OG Aslin was something else though. They turned out some unbelievable beers week after week after week. When they moved out of their tiny OG location, their quality went to hell, but the brewery that filled that old space, Juicy, turned out some incredible stuff. Too bad Juicy’s ownership was an apparent shitshow and went under. There’s a new brewery there now and I hope they can churn out some great stuff like their predecessors.

Is it safe to start this thread? I got it!

Really don't see anything supporting the WWA esp west of the bay or the earlier map showing places west of the bay getting 2-4.

My 2.2” of snow melted down to .17”. Man, for what was looking like a nothing burger this weekend is turning into quite the wintry affair. Love it.

That’s a good description for what we had today. The particles falling really really slow. Even the big ones floating. Yet I get out there and it was like the best snowball fight snow ever.

I feel like that is what we had this afternoon here in Trumbull CT. Great snow ball snow but seemed fluffy.

I'm seeing a "Chai", which is Hebrew for life, and also stands for, "Chai want a snowstorm."

So much of the nonsense in here belongs in the banter or panic room threads. JFC.

Jinx

Yesterday Yeah, I think it did that at 18z, too. Let’s see if anything else climbs onboard.

It was spot on for today. Definitely interesting. See if anything else catches on 00z tonight .

Man...F these f'ing models

Was 32.2F here in sparrows point MD just dropped to 31.9F in last 30 minutes

The risk is suppression with the PV but hopefully its not congrats southern Mid Atlantic.

One thing that might help is that when looking at these soundings, the DGZ is pretty deep. So if we can get any type of decent deep layer lift, I’m guessing ratios will be pretty good even for a “wet snow”….its pretty cold off the deck during the meat of it so even 31-32F at the sfc could produce what I call “dry wet snow”. It’s kind of superficially wet maybe on the very sfc but it still is dry enough to hold lots of air if the snow growth is good. Just something to keep an eye on. If we see a lot of 5-6” amounts where 0.3-0.4” of QPF is being progged, it might not be a QPF bust, but better-than-expected ratios. Now if we just get lighter crap, none of this will even be relevant.

Surface temps are running a bit colder than modeled so far. Down to 28 here and I'm 1 mi away from the beach

I was kinda surprised they issued a WWA for central md for a couple inches.. They must be thinking..... Umm I really don't know what they are thinking lol

IIRC each model had its own thread - but there were less runs each day ETA, GFS, and Euro. They were all PBP threads since almost no one had model access

0z Hrrr is a 2 waver tomorrow...one 4am-10am then a more significant wave backing in 3pm-9pm. When was the last tine we got Hrrr'd?