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Beat me to it…looks good

Negative, just feels like a lot of people have been preaching patience, and it’s been stated why this is low probability, yet, we get a random big solution on the gfs and people go wild. I don’t get it

Closed h5 in TN…

Step in right direction

0.82”

ICON markedly better than 18z. Trough at 96hr is deeper and more SW. Let's see what it can do.

He's definitely more clam than linguine

Right--very few big hits come outside of the weekend...I don't know why--it just doesn't seem to work, lol

You're going to catch a lot of shit for that one I'd just leave it and see how much everyone measures.

Hey man, you have the option to go outside and touch grass.

Squalls/gusty showers look fairly decent tonight on guidance… thread in the morning? Anyone? Bueller?

Fun game, Stafford so good

Surprised you don’t think your area can do as well as anyone, even the mid-Atlantic.

Do you mean experienced posters and meteorologists? You sound like you think you’re superior to everyone….

Meowww

Still remarkable to me How non-snowy most of the US has been this winter. Even mid Atlantic places that started off early are now behind average. Aside from Midwest and northeast, only the mountainous west has had any snow (and not much of that either.) Just a total lack of snow and cold. Yes, I know, I say it often. But I think it’s worth being stated. This has been a non winter for the majority of the US. Winter never even started for most. Would take a repeated series of storms and cold shorts to bring this winter out of the gutter for most. There’s still plenty of time, but I think winter has shown it’s cards in those places

GFS is still on an island with its solutions. Ensembles arent biting too much, nor are the other operational models. Aside from GFS, the trough remains positive on most model guidance which argues against a coastal storm coming up the coast. And a lack of gulf moisture to tap into as well so it’s kind of a sheared out mess. I would not put credence into any big solutions for either the 16th or the 20th. Northern stream seems too fast

At least something to track A very windy Sunday ahead

It shows torch kitty started it and the thread title, but there is no opening post.

Critical runs incoming. On-hour, full data. LFG.

Yup, kind of sad. This has a lot working against it. Kicker lows, and more importantly, it kind of is an occluded mess one it gets here. If there is a storm, I think the best is in the mid Atlantic and we are fighting for shredded scraps here. I think the desperation is getting to normally level headed people.

How about the mods wipe this thread out. Let a real weather fan start a new thread at the proper time. All this thread does is split the posts, doing a disservice to the group.

Were you torching yesterday? We only saw 1-2” decreases in snow depth during this “thaw”… quickly working to make it back up now. I do think it’s much less snow at 1500ft on the west side of Mansfield, maybe even half that 26”. This SE side locks in cold on those warmer south flows for sure.

Reading Stephen King’s “IT” and getting ready for 10:30est play by play for 0z GFS.