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A quick couple hours of good lift in the DGZ up here

Lets hope when the forecasted proverbial flood gates open 2/15-2/16 we can hold onto the cold for some duration.

my husband thought it was Marc Antony

lol . It’ll be before that. Especially if Scooter gets his way

I could watch daddy Pedro dance all the time

Too much of a good thing (the cold) Dry as a bone since the 1/25 storm

The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 19h This tweet from Feb 4. Here we are Feb 8 and the AI almighty ( Google Graphcast) has a similar map forecasted as the human researched 4 storm analog did 4 days ago. So model is coming to me, which means nothing unless it happens. The analog method has risk Pick the wrong ones and you are wrong. But if you dissect the pattern right , this will be an example of a 10-12 day call. It's fun because you change the forecast only once, right before the storm, and then you bring in models to hone in on the details. I wonder what the old-timers who taught me, the analog members, would do today with this new-order AI stuff. They were way ahead of their time. I was fortunate enough to be around to learn from them and to have their work ethic

Looks decent for ratios. 2-3 hr period where it comes down. But these north trends are concerning

Up and down and showers- sounds like… Spring Jokes aside it’s been a remarkable cold pattern the east coast has been locked in and no one should expect cold like this to continue as long as it has in ANY winter. But seeing the pacific firehose into west coast again tells me it’s done, and any cold shots likely will be followed by significant warmups. A spring pattern going into mid-late February doesn’t necessarily mean a warm pattern. Spring is up and down but the ups are more significant than the past couple months. If RDU hadn’t failed at the last storm I think every major city on east coast would finish above normal snowfall and below normal temps for the winter. As it stands I think Raleigh is the only city on the east coast BN for snowfall (seasonal, not to date)

I don't think we'll be completely shut out

Thinking 75-80s with spotty 90s in highly urbanized areas…

Fwiw, and I know it ain't much, 6z GfsAI took the southern route with marginal temps at best. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=aigfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2026020906&fh=168

Not trying to be "that" guy... but we are almost halfway through February.... time is slipping away quick

Giggity

The whole performance was what music can be an about. A celebration of a culture but also a commentary on other things. The symbolism was meant to educate as well as entertain

Don’t worry Guthrie family. We have an experienced genius leading the FBI…

While it has been a fairly cold and snowy winter, overall, especially relative to recent history, we haven't totally escaped warm spells. December was 40F+ between the 17th and 29th, including those final two days of 64F. January also had a warm burst, though shorter in duration, between the 5th and 14th. Not that anyone would remember now, haha. We're definitely losing the favorable meta-factors. All indices look to flip: -PNA, +AO, and +NAO. EPO region looks to go back to positive, as well. In fact, it looks like a lot like that December alignment. In that sense, we could, in theory, look at a two-week period (give or take) of generally warmer temps. The timing of that is unfortunate because we'd be losing some of the prime winter portions in the heart of February, our second-snowiest month, on average. The remaining question is if the pattern reloads again come March, or if we slide into an even warmer pattern long-term. I think the former is more likely, as we've seen multiple times already this year, but that is always TBD.

Every future halftime show could just be Jessica alba dancing alone and I’d be transfixed

Chill Ice box 2/7 EWR; 28 / 7 (-16) NYC: 27 / 6 (-17) LGA; 28 / 7 (-17) JFK: 28 / 6 (-16) 2/8: EWR: 19 / 5 (-22) NYC: 18 / 3 (-24) LGA: 20 / 5 (-22) JFK: 18 / 3 (-22)

After all this we are going to put a near goose egg in the snowfall books for February? Is this really unfolding in front of us?

Yep. A lot to the SW get almost nothing. How do ratios look?

More like a sleet/ice storm, but I'm not thinking too warm. However, I do think a 65+ high is highly likely during the first week to 10 days of March.

Ummm yes. The whole performance was full of symbolism