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Here is a map of the overnight rainfall:

We banger

par for the course this time of year for sure, anything other than drought is ok by me, just glad it's green

Climo dictates always temper your forecast and expectations in Early May to the side of a closed upper low versus ridging. Heck, even into early June I don't trust the upper low to win the battle.

More early season mid 80s heat for the warm spots today as we are off to the 3rd and 4th warmest spring on record from Newark out to Islip. Hopefully, we can actually verify some heavy rains out of the cutoff low forecast. This has some potential to reduce the drought a bit. But it’s going to be a challenge to completely make up the 10 inch deficit since last summer over NJ and Eastern PA. But a 20% to 40% reduction would be good news. Since drought feedback going into the summer would result in a very hot summer especially in areas away from the sea breeze. So we will need another 2 or 3 potential big event like this to push back in the heat potential this summer. Since the only way we have seen summer heat in recent years get reduced some has been through very heavy rains like in 2023. But that was a developing El Niño. La Ninas often have cutoffs in May but transition to drier conditions over the summer. I would be nice to see a wetter pattern hold into the summer. Maybe the Euro seasonal release on the 5th will have some clues. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2012-05-01 53.4 0 2 2010-05-01 53.3 0 3 1945-05-01 52.8 0 4 2025-05-01 52.2 0 5 2024-05-01 52.0 0 6 2023-05-01 51.4 0 - 1973-05-01 51.4 0 7 2016-05-01 51.0 0 - 1985-05-01 51.0 0 8 1977-05-01 50.3 0 9 2021-05-01 50.1 0 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2012-05-01 49.8 0 2 2010-05-01 49.5 0 3 2025-05-01 49.0 0 4 2024-05-01 48.2 0 5 2023-05-01 47.6 0 - 1973-05-01 47.6 0 6 2016-05-01 47.4 0 7 1991-05-01 47.3 0 8 2002-05-01 47.0 0 9 2021-05-01 46.7 0 10 1985-05-01 46.6 0 - 1977-05-01 46.6 0

Makes sense. Small intense cell on radar, I probably missed the rain by a few blocks, but was close enough for the loud thunder.

From LOT AFD Highlights yesterday at this time: ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. Ugly miss and turn of events.

That was 3 weeks last may and another 3-4 weeks last September. The worst.

They hear the ones in the distance that we can't hear.

14 days of stratus for 0.25" rain

While it remains to me seen how much rain falls over the next several days one thing is certain, it’s the season to check your rain gauges for debris from everything blooming so you don’t wonder why your totals may seem off when compared to other local stations. .01 last in a heavy, but clearly short lived shower around 2am. 58/54 currently.

Only around 0.15”

Purely Organics and yeah it's local as the bag says it's made in Portsmouth NH. I get it at my local garden center but I've seen it in some Home Depot's. The grains are probably from some brewery in the Portsmouth area as the bags say it's made from waste distillery grains. Even gives your lawn a hint of beer smell when you put it down. Haha https://www.simplygro.com/products/purely-organic-products-lawn-food-25-lb

It has to happen. We always get these cut off lows in May and never see the sun for 14 days.

Quiet and dry here so far.

Looks like 1-2” down by the cape. They love nocturnal storms.

Another tip for those with allergies is to always close up at night. Pollen can fuk you up all day but it's not until night that some plants release there pollen. Over millions of years some plants figured out ultra violet sterilization was a problem. Amazing

49F/ nice drink early am shop shows .28"

Loud storm about 2am here-dropped .15

Yes, I agree. My seasonal allergies have been bad the last few weeks. Recent years have not been so bad for me.

Although pollen, viruses, fungus, and mold generally thrive in moisture they all spread more efficiently in dry environments.

I agree. Once we get through the cooler period, I suspect some of the heat will move into the region.

Indeed & CTP agrees as well. AFDCTP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 510 AM EDT Fri May 2 2025 .SYNOPSIS... * Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms will occur this afternoon and evening and repeat in a similar fashion on Saturday and Sunday. * Blocky pattern becoming established by the end of the weekend could produce significant/beneficial rainfall through early next week

Gonna be interesting tomorrow from about LWM to HFD and points N and W. Can’t rule out a storm near and south of the pike, but could be a few nasty storms along frontal boundary.

It definitely is . When it's dry it goes and stays airborne more efficiently. Add the excess wind to the equation. Some got knocked and tacked down last night in areas that got rain so that will help for today.