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But...... several GEFS and EPS members imply a potential NW trend, just maybe not enough for anyone in east TN:

Buy.

As it stands it’s mostly a ENE event on all models. It needs work for anything WOR

Saturday is gone

my body is ready

Take heart John, 6z GFS gives Dirty Myrtle 4.4" !!

We're going to get a real nice stretch...no way this season ends early like last year. And if you remember a year ago, I was slamming the early spring drum. I knew that one was over.

Its all the models

At least the skynets are pretty interested this time. They had no interest in the 1/15 threat.

Looks like a little bit yes

Went to bed early and missed the excitement. I’m politely requesting a nw trend.

Did it move NW again though? Seems like euro was following GFS, just not as dramatically.

I love how people are saying "this season" will be cooked. We've been cooked for 10 years. I literally have not had a 6+ inch snowstorm here since the blizzard of 2016. I realize that doesn't represent all of the MA. But its overall been terrible for a decade now. This year is actually probably our best in 10 years. At least its not constant torch and we hit December snowfall numbers.

Probably just a classic GFS head fake

I saw the gfs and it was somewhat interesting, but euro sliding SE makes me think it’s all a dream, per usual

extended still p sleepy but rife with mood dusters

GFS agrees. At least the coast of NC doesn't go without a storm this winter. They seem to do better than the Catoctins and Carroll County in the past 10 years lol. The GFS wasn't terrible. It gives us some scraps and crushes the Tug Hill. Going back Jan 20th for a week.

Except mid January, as was outlined last fall.

Wasn't there originally a coastal? That idea is long gone. Now we are just hoping for a quick change over and accumulation. Upside potential is probably limited to under an inch best case. Hardly back from the dead.

6z update on Sunday/Monday threat .. GFS NW moderate hit for ENE, EURO ticked SE, AIFS NW - light to moderate hit ENE

But La Nina is dead!!!!

Yea, I've been on the big-finish train. You have to think it starts up soon...probably when the MJO hits 7.

GFS in the extended range reinforces my thoughts going forward. A couple dustings here or there, followed by cutters. Warm wet, cold dry.

Whoda thunk it? Looks like we are back in play for the MLK storm. At least the coast is as of now.

Some CAD going on this morning. Was 39 at home and frost here at work. Probably around 33 degrees.