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Forget the crystal ball. You can make a hat out of the aluminum foil wrap in your drawer...

My lord, Zoloft should buy a sponsorship on this thread. Hopefully one of those shortwave hits. Patience…

Yeah Lamar has been THE unluckiest QB in the league the last few weeks. TWO games in a row where he threw TD passes that would've decided the game that were either called back by ridiculous penalties or fumbled away. He legit should've had 3-4 TD passes. See, it's one thing when you're already not playing up to your standard...but then to make decisive throws despite all that and have them taken away??? C'mon man.

What happens with the above pattern, and I need to look at this more carefully(roll the tape forward if you will), all of that retrogrades. You get a window when a pattern like this retrogrades where we get a goldilocks 500 pattern.

Well tbh., Ray says that fairly often . Maybe he’ll be right . And I think he’d admit that

Growing up during the 70s and 80s I remember snowfall predictions like this for a decent storm: SNJ/Shore: 1-3" w/some mixing Philly Immediate. S&E: 2-4' Immediate NW Burbs: 3-6" Lehigh Valley/Berks: 4-8" Poconos: 5-10"+ We don't even sniff those type of totals any longer. Good old Herb:

Many of them will be coming to Pennsylvania, most likely.

Yeah we had several families from MA here today getting their tree and the kids leaped out of the cars and practically dove in the snow, parents just looked at me smiling and said, "they were hoping all the way that there would be snow when we got here". I may have to convert to a disc golf course...

Lamar is not past his prime yet, man. He's 28--and he has matured into a great enough passee that even just great speed as opposed to elite speed will be enough to win a SB. The injuries this year have largely been a result of the crappy O-line, lol I believe that once we get a brand new coaching staff and rebuild the trenches, we could have a legit shot at a ring in 1-2 years. And I'd like to think Lamar will still be great! On EDC: I think he will make the changes that need to be made. Yes he's been too reactive as opposed to proactive about stuff, but I think his reaction will be to finally fix it.

It’s all good haha. I was just busting. Hopefully SNE and WXW1 can cash in soon. Just have to hope something pops. The model runs are all over the place as to be expected but I agree with @40/70 Benchmark that folks should be meaningfully on the board by mid month.

December 1995. Notice the eastwardly displaced ridge and trough setup? This isn't a perfect match, but I found it interesting, even with the Bering Sea hp. Notice the cold in the Yukon? But overall, the similarities are kind of striking. And now look at the 30 day forecasts from the Euro Weeklies, GFS Weeklies, and CFSv2. Now, I am not saying this is going to be 95-96 as a winter, but it could be a light version. That winter didn't mean business until mid-late Jan through mid-Feb. As CoachB noted(think that was him), that winter wasn't overly cold, but it snowed during a four week time frame every, single time it got cold. I pulled this up, because CPC keeps double weighting it in their d8-14 analogs.

This was like 10-15 hours ago? Had no idea the vibe shifted so hard. But after reading the past two pages… I now understand the responses.

No reason to genuflect…screw the whiners, lol. They are the absolute worst. I’m all for a good melt every now and then, but the constant whining about model runs grates me 100x worse than someone posting nice snowfall pics from up north.

Let's see it

There’s been a lot of run to run variability on the shortwaves. Any one of them could actually produce but the prerequisite is really getting that western ridge amped up again…it’s flatter than it was yesterday. So hopefully that trends taller again and I’d bet we see some good solutions.

35 for me. Which is my predicted low from NOAA

Damn, already almost 4”. Yeah, hand up, didn’t read the room. Had a busy day and didn’t check in since last night.

It was just funny how all the posts before yours was a lamentation and then you swoop in with clipper snow. 3.7” as of 45 minutes ago. It really is beautiful out. I’ve been moving into WXW2 in a short sleeve shirt all day. As much as I love snow that was not fun. Heading back to CT tomorrow but likely back in time for the more robust system midweek. Hoping to setup the VP2 then.

Yes which is why I said it’s very similar to last year. Is it El Niño yet?

I swear last I read was some good chance coming up, Ray (last night) saying a storm is coming, not looking at models till Wednesday… second week of December, etc. Wasn’t that very recently?

Just hit 37 here. Still dropping like a rock.

Buddy my mama is in Craig county where I grew up. So I’ve never seen a decent buck, they don’t exist cause they don’t live long enough or go nocturnal in my moms neck of the woods. I jumped the biggest nicest buck I ever seen while slip hunting my new property. For the first time in my life I have buck fever haha I haven’t pulled the trigger on shit this year. Me and my wife are in a rental while our house is being restored and I don’t have a decent freezer so it’s for the best I reckon.

It’s a great pattern for cold and also a terrible pattern for snow outside of the lakes

I'll take that for early December down here on the Southside!