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Shop Davis @ 61F , tempted to remove plow equipment, but can't, saving on heat that's for sure!

Slight chance of some snow on Saturday in far NW/NCentral SNE... but I wouldn't hang my hat on it

3km with some violence ripping across PA tomorrow. May even see some elevated thunderstorms move across SNE tomorrow night...pretty decent MUCAPE on the 3km

I meant rest of the month, but yeah at least some of you guys have gotten 4-6” or so. Just half inch here.

Already 60 here Awful

Not going to be shut out technically speaking because most of the interior has snowed already this month.

If we get something, it seems like it will have to be almost an overrunning deal with the cold in Canada nearby.

It's over down here....as someone who spent hours upon hours concluding that March would be fruitful this season, it's abundantly clear where this is headed for SNE...different story up there.

Part of the issue is the earlier DST-once clocks go ahead-people stop thinking about winter sports

Well not sure we’ll be shut ouT, but it’s going to have to occur late month and that makes it harder…..especially in my area.

stones

This makes no sense at all.

After some mild wx melting some of our robust snowpack, more on the way again. A good 1-4" across the N areas today with another decent hit possible Thurs. The system today from the SW looks to hit more to my S & E into tomorrow. Snow train this week.

Yea, we can't buy a decent December or March....at the risk of having the thread discussion gravitate towards "you know that"...

Agree on that....warmth is performing.

Don, it's CLEARLY urban heat island effect. That's why the 10 warmest years at Death Valley (pop: 0) are 2022, 2021, 2025, 2018, 2017, 2024, 2020, 2014, 2012, and 2016. Note the handful of older years are all missing months, mostly in the cold part of the year. It's actually pretty wild that recent years are as warm as those years that have no data for one or more winter months.

Lots of reservoirs out that way already WAY closer to dead pool than ever before

Yet another March with below normal snowfall. At least last week got me a bit above my seasonal average. If the rest of March is a shut out, it’s going to be hard to give this winter more than a B grade here.

For Knoxville tomorrow afternoon. If a discrete cell manages to get established, it’s got some ok numbers to work with. ARW NAM3k FV3 .

We won't even be partly sunny, though! We'll 42 and drizzle while CAPE enjoys his 34 and heavy snow

Prepare yourself. Because if it does indeed snow, Cape will reporting fatties with 3" on the ground and we're partly sunny.

Lol. I only care about up north but Monday now looking pretty cutterish. Hope it can start looking less amped next few days. Up in the ADK this weekend hoping for 3-6" Friday and semi decent skiing.

Thanks for your explanation. Here’s the surface of the relevant 6Z GEFS members as of the end of the snow period for portions of NC: what do they (2, 4, 7, and 14) have in common? lowest SLP both stronger and centered ~150-200 miles off SE coast: And here’s the 6 hour qpf: check out member 14 with its 1.25” swath:

73.2 if math is correct. Think I told @The 4 Seasons72.7 before the half inch of crud last week. March looks to be a dud.

Not asking me ...but "month of threats" overstates that? The rhetoric should really be "month of diminishing returns, but that doesn't mean zero" - that's painting a more realistic and fair picture, when factoring climatology, both standard and definitely CC-fixing. I can coherently sense these increasing limitations in the recent guidance tenors.