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  2. Had 23° at 11 last evening with bright stars, figured 1st teens were a cinch, but that was the bottom - must've had clouds moving in shortly after. Pure sun at the moment, a rare phenomenon in November.
  3. 65 today? Doesn’t seem like it
  4. This is a quote from USA tday online: "La Niña vs. polar vortex? Forecast warns of 'extraordinary' winter weather. A sudden, dramatic shift in temperatures high in the atmosphere will dance with the La Niña weather pattern. There won't be a clear winner, and forecasters are still determining how cold it could get." Epic battle shaping up.
  5. Thats does not seem to match what I am looking at. There are many MJO models and many possible outcomes. As @psuhoffman mentioned a couple days ago, having a great Pac in December, versus a - NAO is a more realistic path to cold and snow in our area, and I totally agree. The Pac has screwed us several times in recent years and the - NAO is hard to predict. Its occurrence ( -NAO ) does not in any way guarantee snow. The block one year dived far to the SW that we warmed up and Texas had a blizzard. Another year it linked with the SER, and yet another year Canada was so warm the -NAO was useless. I would say a lot in December depends on the Pac. If things fall apart there then the hopes of a wintry December will not happen.
  6. How much more frequently has this been happening (i.e. 20% more often than the previous 50 year average)? Not arguing, just want to get an idea.
  7. I had two lined up for tomorrow, but the weather isn’t going to cooperate.
  8. He stopped winterizing it in winter 22-23 I think…it became too much with its size. I think the early Feb 23 cold shot did it in. He boxed it in with a wooden frame…maybe some insulation? And I think he had Xmas lights inside to keep it warm.
  9. I remember you, or somebody posting this before…curious, how do you winterize a tree?
  10. They saw that huge snowman, and rushed to get the trucks out salting…before all hell broke loose.
  11. Today
  12. Looks very warm in the East starting Thanksgiving week
  13. I will take a few inches of snow to rain in a heartbeat. Old fashion winters.
  14. Those MJO analogs are variable based on ENSO and they’re not always high correlation. But if a wave moves into Phase 8 strongly in mid December, that should be supportive of cold and snow chances.
  15. Fingers crossed, it does look like the pattern could be favorable to at least get us on the board. It might be an overrunning scenario with the SE ridge where NYC changes to rain, but we’d be on the board at least.
  16. amazing how many la nina winters turn out to be wet for southern california..
  17. Anybody wanna sign, I can work up a memo
  18. Eight years ago today we were in the middle of a snowstorm that would bring between 4" to 7" of snow across the county. A little different here today with today being our warmest day till Friday. Clouds are on the increase with a few showers possible by evening. Rain amounts look pretty light with under 0.10” A cold front crossing the area will move through overnight and we will see winds increasing from the west and temperatures dropping during the day on Sunday. Below normal temperatures for most of the work week with highs in the 40's and lows near or below freezing. We warm to near 50 degrees on Thursday with rain chances increasing by Thursday night.
  19. Eight years ago today we were in the middle of a snowstorm that would bring between 4" to 7" of snow across the county. A little different here today with today being our warmest day till Friday. Clouds are on the increase with a few showers possible by evening. Rain amounts look pretty light with under 0.10” A cold front crossing the area will move through overnight and we will see winds increasing from the west and temperatures dropping during the day on Sunday. Below normal temperatures for most of the work week with highs in the 40's and lows near or below freezing. We warm to near 50 degrees on Thursday with rain chances increasing by Thursday night.
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