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Was 32.2F here in sparrows point MD just dropped to 31.9F in last 30 minutes

The risk is suppression with the PV but hopefully its not congrats southern Mid Atlantic.

One thing that might help is that when looking at these soundings, the DGZ is pretty deep. So if we can get any type of decent deep layer lift, I’m guessing ratios will be pretty good even for a “wet snow”….its pretty cold off the deck so even 31-32F at the sfc could produce what I call “dry wet snow”. It’s kind of superficially wet maybe on the very sfc but it still is dry enough to hold lots of air if the snow growth is good. Just something to keep an eye on. If we see a lot of 5-6” amounts where 0.3-0.4” of QPF is being progged, it might not be a QPF bust, but better-than-expected ratios. Now if we just get lighter crap, none of this will even be relevant.

Surface temps are running a bit colder than modeled so far. Down to 28 here and I'm 1 mi away from the beach

I was kinda surprised they issued a WWA for central md for a couple inches.. They must be thinking..... Umm I really don't know what they are thinking lol

IIRC each model had its own thread - but there were less runs each day ETA, GFS, and Euro. They were all PBP threads since almost no one had model access

0z Hrrr is a 2 waver tomorrow...one 4am-10am then a more significant wave backing in 3pm-9pm. When was the last tine we got Hrrr'd?

Pd1 was in 79 no?

@brooklynwx99

Yeah I remember wright weather board as well. DT always posted

I remember that one back when I was in college for the PDI blizzard

HRRR we take

It was 4 inches thank you very much

Rap and Hrrr are around 1-1.5" at best for those with a shot.

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I remember the Wright Weather days. Im getting old pushing 50! How far do the Jeb Walks go back?

Yes. I agree. We'll see if they ever acknowledge it.

Seriously?

Ugh - pretty rough way to go out for Buffalo

My first forum was the Bill Evans board.

I don't believe 2016-17 is a good analog. I only referenced it, because it had probably the strongest WWB during any La Niña in recent decades. Personally, I didn't think the 2026 WWB would measure up to that event. So far, it has fallen far short.

It took me a minute to think of him.. Mullen, always had a one liner and he bailed to Florida years ago . I hope he's still alive. He was the best! His one liners were classics

I wouldn’t bother looking at any ops here on out. Useless