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  1. Past hour
  2. ORH_wxman
    Need that vort energy in Wisconsin/Iowa to phase a little more with the southwest stuff before it moves east. Started doing that this run but not enough except for very light stuff into SNE.
  3. bncho
    EPS more amped up
  4. GBOVolz
    I don’t know, but the tweet they made was just like 10 minutes ago. It may be that they’re avoiding today’s mods lol .
  5. DDweatherman
    Couldn’t agree more. Great ratios, cold smoke, “lesser” complexity. And it piles up beautifully.
  6. Scottie16
    Didn’t see a thread ooops’ .
  7. nj2va
    Banana High
  8. Daniel Boone
    That was based on last nights Run. I wonder if Today's will change their Tune.
  9. SnoSki14
    These things always get further north than initially modeled. 8 out of 10 times we're more worried about sleet/rain than cold/dry
  10. MUWX
    I think they’re generally pretty reliable, but there’s some concern this time that they may struggle because of how strong the high‑pressure system is expected to be. SGF noted that they will likely have difficulty since we have very few past cases with a similar setup. They’ve consistently been on the northern edge of the guidance, likely because they’re underestimating the strength of the high pressure.
  11. dendrite
    Pic for reference. I’m not going to pretend to know what’s right…but I’d prefer the least confluent option possible.
  12. Scottie16 started following January 23-25, 2026 Winter Storm Thread
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Yes. That's my favorite setup. Snow just comes in like a wall and it doesn't stop. No wasting 4 hours on virga.
  14. Newman
    If we take into account *probable* ratios, the Euro now has 6-8" extending up to Berks and Lehigh. And I don't think this is done shifting north. Even as is, I think most south of I-78 would take and roll the dice for a different jack with the next storm systems
  15. lilj4425
    It only gives me freezing rain. WTF?
  16. DDweatherman
    This is my favorite analog, maybe slightly less QPF laden, but the overrunning and a “light” primary transfer from S OV/TN valley being the key. Anomalously cold airmass as well much akin to PD2.
  17. TSSN+
    That’s a shift north with heaviest qpf over 0z
  18. clskinsfan
    This thread may end up with multiple threats in it. Depending on how that energy is ejected out of the SW. Feels good to be tracking a big dog again though man.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Cold, wetter, more phasing.
  20. mahk_webstah
    I don't expect a major storm up here Sunday-Monday. But it will be fun to watch it creep north and get the MA and SNE weenies a good time. We'll likely get ours...
  21. Terrapinwx started following January 24-25: Miracle or Mirage
  22. AMZ8990
    I saw one last night from one of the YouTube weather guys and he was beating the same drum.
  23. BoulderWX
    I can’t even think about getting excited for this until Wednesday or Thursday. The depictions we’re seeing is what happens when everything goes right, digitally speaking. The odds of things happening that way are small, but there’s always a chance I suppose.
  24. vegan_edible
    she's been taking care of family with poor health, flowers and snowfall wont get me too far. think im gonna start searching and possibly pull the trigger tomorrow? just incase thanks to you guys! also MAJOR shout out for not sending me to oscar meyer's weenie land
  25. SnoSki14
    I'd be nervous if we were in the bullseye this far out as these things almost always come north. Having models keeping this south 6 days out is not a bad thing
  26. cleetussnow
    Definitely stick with the scheduled flight otherwise you risk jinxing the storm for the rest of us. Oh, and burn your snow thrower today, latest..
  27. brooklynwx99
    EPS has more phasing
  28. John1122
    Whatever BAM weather says, the opposite is usually good to go.
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