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Pacific upwelling much faster at the equator than scientists thought “It turns out that equatorial upwelling in the Pacific is about 10 times faster than we previously thought,” Karnauskas said. “And this could be really important because that water rising toward the surface in the Pacific covers a huge fraction of the ocean surface, and it affects things like temperature and nutrients needed for photosynthesis.” His work, published today in the Journal of Climate, reveals the faster rate of upwelling and determines why older estimates were off. Karnauskas combed through old observations and analyzed vast amounts of new data from state-of-the-art measurement tools to get a more accurate estimate. The findings point to a key discrepancy in global climate models, which currently predict significant warming along the equator in the Pacific. This new rate may help researchers understand why they have struggled to capture key climate trends in the region. https://cires.colorado.edu/news/pacific-upwelling-much-faster-equator-scientists-thought https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/38/16/JCLI-D-24-0704.1.xml

Would still need some improvements but doesn't seem like much in order to get some front end snow on a couple of these systems traversing down from the Lakes through New England. Obviously we want to see some shifts but we are still 7-10 days out from the next period of interest. This is not a big storm pattern that's for sure

Yeah about 2” here. Bent over again. But cheer up, Mansfield stake at an all time high. Boing!

Yea just ignore the ensembles. 2 days ave above normal and snow is possible. Month will finish some -7 -8 here

Interesting inversion. One of the quickest cold shots I can remember

12/5: 1.3" 12/14: 1.8" T: 3.1"

Final total from Rainthuen- .8

12 here.

Low of 15. Deep winter feel. Even in good winters we don’t get many days like yesterday and today.

Didn't the 1 inch record continue because Central Park said there was .9 in one of the snowfalls?

Maybe snowpack? Otherwise odd to me.

I totally buy it...man, like exactly the PT pattern that I expected to develop around the holiday and well in January. I think the next window opens in mid January (ducks and runs) I can not believe that I am coming out of this pattern with 3.75"...less than NH and the cape....just unbelievable. We should get some shots at front enders and SWFE given Canada shouldn't torch, but my god...

As things stand right now it looks like at least the next 8-10 days go by the wayside....

Looks like it's completely in the center. That's a bullseye if we're playing darts.

12/14: 1.5"

Matches what I got in downtown. Also drove through the GW Parkway & 14th St Bridge… really couldn’t have been more than .5”. The second you climb a bit into Arlington it’s a different world, but I think the total is likely right.

Lean times.

Let’s just round 2.9 to 3. They are so silly over there.

Oh ok so the amount they released yesterday after the storm was 2.9” but it appears there might have been a 4.4” measurement ?

Why would modeling show that 2 meter BN? Odd.

Well I mean they were flying for the Pats...unfortunately so for the Bills lol

Dont discount the 22nd to 25th yet. Ignore the Debbie's, 2 warm days and they are canceling winter

I mean maybe you hope and pray for it, but that H5 look? Woof. Bering sea ridge, but +AO. Would be nice to get some Greenland ridging.

C'mon man.... Get it together. You know first hand how the outcome of these future model runs can change. Ok, we don't have a White Christmas. So what. Point is, model runs will change. And even if this stays the course verbatim, the weather pattern this winter season is different. It will change. We have all of January, February and March ( although a few will dispute March ). Don't give up on it is all I'm saying.

Yea sure winter cancel.