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October 2026 general discussion


Typhoon Tip
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71/64 here today, last weekend of fall baseball for my boys this weekend on Saturday both have double headers, so that outta be interesting. Last weekend we were in westerly for a DH and weather was awesome just miles from misquamicut, great games, now basketball starts next week.

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44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Models backing off cold this weekend. Lets keep that going through winter.

Mentioned yesterday or the day before .. I was suss about that magnitude.    Seriously not being a dick but the reason that's important is because the models have a bias in amplitude with that type of wave space/propagation.  It's doing it already ...what's happening in winter -

Not sure if it is a specific model bias because they all seem to do this.  Probably it's just chaos load balancing, in that they don't see the permutations of the future, so all they physically end up with out in time is a purified field of just a shorter logistic of events in handling.  But in reality ...all those future distractions will be there eroding -

i mean it's the only logic i can come up with that starts to explain that all but completely dependable bullshit amplitude bias at that mid/ext range

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2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

always seems to be overdone in the longer range.

As usual.  That’s like that with almost every feature. All summer other than the 4th weekend…the Heat underperformed.  
 

By tomorrow it’ll come back some…we know the see-saw affect. 

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