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July Discobs 2026


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Fun watching the showers/t-storms rolling WEST in a line from Front Royal to almost Lynchburg this afternoon, lol. Everything out this way seems to just be stationary, MAYBE a slight WSW movement. Although I've only had .25-.30 here since noon, 10 miles to my south has had 2-4 INCHES of rain and a FFW until 7:45 pm.

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2 hours ago, wxdude64 said:

Fun watching the showers/t-storms rolling WEST in a line from Front Royal to almost Lynchburg this afternoon, lol. Everything out this way seems to just be stationary, MAYBE a slight WSW movement. Although I've only had .25-.30 here since noon, 10 miles to my south has had 2-4 INCHES of rain and a FFW until 7:45 pm.

Summer convection is so fickle. The plot of soil moisture anomalies is pretty textbook across the eastern half of the country. Tons of sporadic wet/dry signals within close proximity to each other. Only a few larger areas noteworthy for widespread wet top layer soil conditions. Need a broader synoptic scale disturbance to provide a more widespread convective threat followed by stratiform to get things to be evenly distributed. Could use one of those remnant tropical disturbances that have been lacking in these parts, outside that sweep over from Ida. 

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1 hour ago, MillvilleWx said:

Summer convection is so fickle. The plot of soil moisture anomalies is pretty textbook across the eastern half of the country. Tons of sporadic wet/dry signals within close proximity to each other. Only a few larger areas noteworthy for widespread wet top layer soil conditions. Need a broader synoptic scale disturbance to provide a more widespread convective threat followed by stratiform to get things to be evenly distributed. Could use one of those remnant tropical disturbances that have been lacking in these parts, outside that sweep over from Ida. 

August will deliver 

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1 hour ago, MillvilleWx said:

Summer convection is so fickle. The plot of soil moisture anomalies is pretty textbook across the eastern half of the country. Tons of sporadic wet/dry signals within close proximity to each other. Only a few larger areas noteworthy for widespread wet top layer soil conditions. Need a broader synoptic scale disturbance to provide a more widespread convective threat followed by stratiform to get things to be evenly distributed. Could use one of those remnant tropical disturbances that have been lacking in these parts, outside that sweep over from Ida. 

               One thing that makes it so difficult to even distribute summer rain here in the east is the inability to have nighttime MCC events.    Over the Plains, you can easily put down 1-2" over a large area with one of those systems, but we so rarely get EMLs here that MCCs can't survive the trip east.

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