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June 2026


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59 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Did well here and I'm calling it a lucky over achiever on the rainfall last evening.  Picked up .81".  Happy about that.  Lawn and garden looking happier this morning.  Lawns had really started burning by yesterday afternoon.  This rainfall will help a bit for a few days at least.  Had a few loud booms of thunder and some vivid lightning flashes to go with the wind and rain.  Estimated gusts to 40 mph but only very briefly.

Great pictures you all posted from last evening.

Looks like a short burst of intense heat by late in the coming week.

Would love for the LR guidance to be correct about a wetter period for the second half of June with the GOM possibly opening up with a northern transport of moisture over the eastern U.S.  Cautiously optimistic.  Of course any northward push of gulf moisture will make it feel swampy and that will make it uncomfortable but it is June.

 

 

Screenshot 2026-06-07 at 10.06.55 AM.jpg

Interesting, I live very close to 78 near Liberty Corner, and from the map it looks like my area got .42+-, but evidently the wind blew the top of my garbage can open early in the storm (so that was the bang I heard lol), and when I went out this morning I would estimate there was at least an inch of water in the can that I had to dump out.  I realize that's not scientific and the sides of my garbage can are not perfectly vertical etc. but It seems like I had to have gotten at least .75 here. Very very localized I guess. My lawn is grateful because I don't have a sprinkler system...

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1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

I had to clear the beach at jones beach after visable CTG lightning. Just clipped by the core, brief heavy rain and a few gusts in the 30s


.

Looks like there could have been some small hail near the Jones Beach West End.

IMG_6585.thumb.jpeg.0a0523fcd1cec3c3a7b78957dceb9651.jpeg

 

 

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Tomorrow will be the coolest day of the week with highs only reaching the upper 70s to near 80°. Afterward, above normal temperatures will return for the remainder of the week. The temperature could approach or reach 90° to end the week. Parts of the region could experience a heatwave during the second half of the week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around May 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.90°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -34.73 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.881 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 80% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.0° (3.0° above normal). That would make June 2026 the fifth warmest June on record.

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.6° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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