Hurricane Agnes Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Tornado Watch up for a good chunk of the area - Quote TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 495 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 155 PM EDT SAT JUL 18 2026 TORNADO WATCH 495 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS PAC011-017-025-029-045-077-089-091-095-101-190100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0495.260718T1755Z-260719T0100Z/ PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERKS BUCKS CARBON CHESTER DELAWARE LEHIGH MONROE MONTGOMERY NORTHAMPTON PHILADELPHIA $$ Quote TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 495 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 155 PM EDT SAT JUL 18 2026 TORNADO WATCH 495 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-037- 041-190100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0495.260718T1755Z-260719T0100Z/ NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN SALEM SOMERSET SUSSEX WARREN $$ Quote TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 495 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 155 PM EDT SAT JUL 18 2026 TORNADO WATCH 495 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS DEC001-003-005-190100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0495.260718T1755Z-260719T0100Z/ DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Central Bucks is getting trained This is very hit or miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Hrr thinks Lehigh Valley is done for the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago The dew point here has risen to 78F now. Yuck! Plenty of juice for storms (no rain here so far, temperature 85F). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, MGorse said: The dew point here has risen to 78F now. Yuck! Plenty of juice for storms (no rain here so far, temperature 85F). Similar here with temp 83 and dp 77. Lightening detector is picking up the stuff north of here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Similar here with temp 83 and dp 77. Lightening detector is picking up the stuff north of here. Yup and I am hearing some thunder now from the storms to the north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Lots of lightning outside of the storms, just had a really close strike by my house and we are a good 20-25 miles from the rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 37 minutes ago, Newman said: You can find the warm front pretty clearly on the latest 18z SBCAPE mesoanalysis. Surface obs are also evident... middle 80s in York, southern Lanco, Philly right now, but low to middle 70s still across the rest of SE PA. I do think this warm front will continue to lift northward but I don't have much confidence in how much in the next 3-4 hours. Some of that messy cloud debris near Harrisburg appears to be thinning out as it slides eastward, and we're getting more sunshine across the Lehigh Valley... All of that to say I think the Trenton/KOP/Philly area will maximize instability and low-level shear just south of the warm front. We shall see... Great write up Newman, was hoping to hear your thoughts I’m really liking my backyard we are in a great spot for instability and shear. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I have my eye on the stuff north of State College. If the Lehigh Valley is going to see any severe weather, it’ll be from that. If it can latch onto the warm front it might get pretty gnarly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Some sunshine popping out here now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago That cell in central bucks quickly went supercellular. I’d expect a severe thunderstorm warning on it soon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago This atmosphere is primed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
enpawx_observer Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 77/75 here. Temp has been more or less stable for the last 3 hours. Also of note, seems like there is still lingering smoke around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Watch those discrete cells in Lancaster County as they quickly move eastward. Some small discrete cells currently developing in southern NJ. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3000 MLCAPE/5000 SBCAPE creeping into Philly now. Low level lapse rates also finally looking somewhat decent too. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 24 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: I have my eye on the stuff north of State College. If the Lehigh Valley is going to see any severe weather, it’ll be from that. If it can latch onto the warm front it might get pretty gnarly. That activity will more likely than not become outflow dominant by the time it reaches the Lehigh Valley. Maybe some embedded spinners, but more likely a damaging straight line wind threat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Sun starting to poke out here, 0.75” so far. 76F/DP 74F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Quarryville PA storm spinning aloft, will move toward Atglen in Chester county. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psychguy Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Sun starting to poke out here, 0.75” so far. 76F/DP 74F Just saw that the temp. Was up to 91 at PHL with a dewpoint of 77. Very, very juicy out there! Sun coming out here in Northwest Philadelphia. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Some outflow moved through here (or warm front slipped a bit southward) with a wind shift out of the north-northwest. Temperature down to 80F after a high of 87F. Dew point down to 74F (peaked at 80F earlier). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just got home from a week in the Outer Banks. Who turned on the smoke and humidity? Hearing thunder in Exton which looks to be from the storm popping up in the west end of the county. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Central Bucks is getting trained This is very hit or miss Right into central NJ getting trained/waffled... 78F/DP 76F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Radar looks like ass for this evening can't believe i missed this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, RedSky said: Radar looks like ass for this evening can't believe i missed this You just have to hope something "pops up" out of nowhere. We have the DP in our favor (DP 76F)... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUnit Posted 53 minutes ago Share Posted 53 minutes ago Radar does look pretty bad for anything of significance. Seems odd to me with all we had at play today that we seem to be failing. Oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 40 minutes ago Share Posted 40 minutes ago The activity in NW PA won't make it here before 9pm if I had to hazard a guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 36 minutes ago Share Posted 36 minutes ago It is very smokey 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted 35 minutes ago Share Posted 35 minutes ago Still 89F with a 79F dew here. Plenty of juice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
enpawx_observer Posted 34 minutes ago Share Posted 34 minutes ago 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: It is very smokey They just showed a drone shot on the Phillies broadcast and it's pretty heavy. Not as bad as Thursday but still super noticeable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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