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May 2026 Obs/Discussion


weatherwiz
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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

HRRR literally has no storms tomorrow . Will be tough to come out of this 5 day heater with no rain 

Looks like we get storms here today if the NAM is right.. plus with what we had last week and what coming this weekend all of us should be good :thumbsup:

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3 hours ago, dendrite said:

There are some wild 4am temps out there. What the hell. 
image.gif

I'm not sure the FIT one is right.  

There is/was a warm boundary sort of washing out overnight, but at 1:35 am that site was 61 F like everywhere around it within 10 clicks, then ...2:15 am it's 77.    I checked some of the surrounding NWS tweener sites and they did show a modest indication that some sort of warmth penetrating the sfc but not 15 to 17 worth - not even close to that amount. 

Not sure.  Seems suss

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1 hour ago, CT Rain said:

It is? Here's the GFS. 

image.thumb.png.faf2d2af84f527f8f18a10235fa43f70.png

I think he's referring to the 00z operational GFS ?    

It pretty much stalls it all S of and never gets QPF in here.   6z was more pessimistic. 

Euro trended tho... It seems the blend of the operational runs is less overall, and with that gyre over the Maritime of Canada having that polar jet around the SW side it does offer an argument to suppress.    It's an interesting battle with that.  If that vortex up there weakens the shits flood in

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