Winter 2026-2027 Speculation

[Ginx snewx]

Grok based on the ECMWF seasonal 

[dendrite]

7 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

^It must have an error with surface based warmth then.

There’s something wrong with a lot of their 1981-2010 2m climo during the winter months around the Great Lakes. Almost like they’re using Lake Superior water temps in the grids so that there’s always a large, permanent negative 2m anomaly there.

[stadiumwave]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

@stadiumwaveCan you link where you generated this image?

 

https://psl.noaa.gov/data/histdata/

 

Its kind of a pain vs the others but at least it is still operational. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Proceed with EXTREME caution using the Cansips

 

[MarcmmKU]

2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Output looks okay on satelitewx.

I bet it'll be possible to take a pleasant hike in short sleeves and shorts along the hudson bay on christmas.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

6 hours ago, dendrite said:

There’s something wrong with a lot of their 1981-2010 2m climo during the winter months around the Great Lakes. Almost like they’re using Lake Superior water temps in the grids so that there’s always a large, permanent negative 2m anomaly there.

Well in the Deep south +2-7F occurred in August and the model at a 0.0 month lead had ~0F. Denver verified +4F vs the models -3F. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

6 hours ago, stadiumwave said:

 

https://psl.noaa.gov/data/histdata/

 

Its kind of a pain vs the others but at least it is still operational. 

Thanks!

[40/70 Benchmark]

16 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Well in the Deep south +2-7F occurred in August and the model at a 0.0 month lead had ~0F. Denver verified +4F vs the models -3F. 

Do you mean the actual model data, or just the bogus tropical tidbits output?

[Brewbeer]

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, Brewbeer said:

I choose the black tail.

[Damage In Tolland]

https://x.com/severeweathereu/status/2095419607100109295?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg