2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion

[Eskimo Joe]

Nice little swirl over West Virginia. If we can get enough sunshine today, we might get some decent storms south of I-70. Might be a DC to EZF special.

[Kmlwx]

[Kmlwx]

3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Nice little swirl over West Virginia. If we can get enough sunshine today, we might get some decent storms south of I-70. Might be a DC to EZF special.

HRRR actually has something coming through Central Maryland this afternoon. 

[Eskimo Joe]

Just now, Kmlwx said:

HRRR actually has something coming through Central Maryland this afternoon. 

Saw that. Looks like some summer showers and storms. Would be very beneficial.

[wxmeddler]

Am more worried about heavy rain / flash flooding the next few days. Storms will be moving but PWAT's near 2" will dump no matter what. One of our stations (Hancock) got 1/2" in 10 minutes at 4AM this morning in a relatively benign shower.

[Kmlwx]

Someone (or a few people) in the next few days - will get microbursted I think. But probably not a region-wide event. 

[Eskimo Joe]

1 minute ago, wxmeddler said:

Am more worried about heavy rain / flash flooding the next few days. Storms will be moving but PWAT's near 2" will dump no matter what. One of our stations (Hancock) got 1/2" in 10 minutes at 4AM this morning in a relatively benign shower.

Sligo Creek, I'm looking at you.

[high risk]

10 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

Someone (or a few people) in the next few days - will get microbursted I think. But probably not a region-wide event. 

    I agree that SVR potential today is limited by lousy shear, although MCVs can be sneaky   Lousy shear will also be an issue Friday, although high instability and organization of storms along the front might counteract that.   But Thursday might have the best combination of shear and instability and allow for a more widespread event, although the source of triggering is less obvious than on the other two days.