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March 2026


snowman19
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The weekend started on a cold note. Low temperatures included:

Boston: 27°
Danbury: 28°
Bridgeport: 31°
Islip: 32°
New York City: 31°
Newark: 31°
Philadelphia: 33°
Poughkeepsie: 25°
Sussex: 25°
White Plains: 27°

Tomorrow will become somewhat milder. The warming trend will continue through the remainder of March with the temperature reaching the lower and middle 70s as March concludes.

April will also start with readings topping out in the lower to middle 70s, but a cold front will knock down temperatures shortly afterward. A wet period could follow.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.15°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was -11.92 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.569 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 46.4° (3.6° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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23 minutes ago, psv88 said:

43 today. Warm week ahead and then another shitty weekend 

That is how you know it is spring in the northeast. Same plot every year now. Usually mid-week teases you with beautiful weather before the weekend is frigid, windy, and wet. 

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The warm spots like New Brunswick have a chance at another 1-2 March days reaching 70° and could get close to 2012.

 

Time Series Summary for New Brunswick Area, NJ (ThreadEx) - Month of Mar Number of 70° days
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1945 11 0
2 2012 8 0
3 1946 7 0
4 2026 6 3
- 1921 6 0
5 2016 5 0
- 1989 5 0
- 1948 5 0
- 1913 5 1
- 1910 5 2
- 1903 5 0

IMG_6012.thumb.png.753778f1a2841df135eac1d27fe3a0c3.png

IMG_6013.thumb.png.cf39e7ee542f1c00ed3d4dde6844e87b.png

 

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17 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The warm spots like New Brunswick have a chance at another 1-2 March days reaching 70° and could get close to 2012.

 

Time Series Summary for New Brunswick Area, NJ (ThreadEx) - Month of Mar Number of 70° days
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1945 11 0
2 2012 8 0
3 1946 7 0
4 2026 6 3
- 1921 6 0
5 2016 5 0
- 1989 5 0
- 1948 5 0
- 1913 5 1
- 1910 5 2
- 1903 5 0

IMG_6012.thumb.png.753778f1a2841df135eac1d27fe3a0c3.png

IMG_6013.thumb.png.cf39e7ee542f1c00ed3d4dde6844e87b.png

 

I thought New Brnswck hit 70 on 3/16 but see it was 69.  Other nearby are at 7 or 8  >70 days due to the 16th and  the 20th as well.

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34 / 35 off a low of 23 (coldest for a while) Quick warmup upper 50s to low 6oOs in the warmest spots.  Warm week ahead two days of sunshine Mon / Tue then warm and cloudy wet Wed - the East3r  weekend.  Onshore / backdoor TBD Thu / Sat.  Perhaps drying out by the 7th but cooler - near normal overall beyond that till about mid month. 

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 89 (1945)
NYC: 86 (1945)
LGA: 86 (1945)
JFK: 82 (1998)


Lows;


EWR:  23 (1959)
NYC: 10 (1923)
LGA: 25 (2022)
JFK: 24 (2022)

Historical:
 

1886 - Atlanta, GA, was drenched with a record 7.36 inches of rain in 24 hours. (The Weather Channel)

1920 - Clear Spring, MD, received 31 inches of snow in 24 hours to establish a state record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

1921 - The temperature in Washington D.C. dropped from 82 degrees to 26 degrees thus ending an early spring. (David Ludlum)

1935 - A severe duststorm blanketed Amarillo, TX, for 84 hours. During one six hour period the visibility was near zero. (28th-31st) (The Weather Channel)

1945 - Providence, RI, hit 90 degrees to establish a March record for the New England area. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorms spawned tornadoes in Mississippi, and produced high winds and heavy rain in Louisiana. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 92 mph at Houma LA, and caused a million dollars damage in Terrebonne Parish. Avondale LA was deluged with 4.52 inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Severe thunderstorms in the Lower Mississippi Valley spawned a tornado which injured two persons at Bunkie LA, and produced high winds which down a large tree onto a trailer at Bastrop LA claiming the life of one child and injuring another. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced torrential rains in northeastern Texas and southwestern Arkansas. Longview TX reported 14.16 inches of rain. More than eleven inches of rain at Henderson TX caused a dam to give way, and people left stranded in trees had to be rescued by boat. Total damage in northeastern Texas was estimated at 10 to 16 million dollars. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced severe weather in southeastern Texas and southern Louisiana. Thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes, including one which injured seven persons at Gray LA. Thunderstorms also produced golf ball size hail and wind gusts to 70 mph at Port O'Conner TX, and produced up to six inches of rain in Beauregard Parish LA. (Storm Data)

2007 - Eighteen year old Corey Williams is killed by a lightning bolt in Carbondale, IL, at the Community High School's first home track meet of the season.

2011 - A record 766 inches of snowfall at Boreal Ski Resort and nearly 59 feet at Squaw Valley in California's Sierra Nevadas are just two areas where snowfall records have been broke.

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