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March 2026


snowman19
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The weekend will start on a cold note with the low temperature likely near freezing in New York City and high temperatures in the middle 40s on Saturday. Sunday will become somewhat milder. The warming trend will continue through the remainder of March with the temperature reaching the 70s as March concludes.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.15°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was -12.30 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.511 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 46.2° (3.4° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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16 hours ago, vegan_edible said:

currently on my flight back home from san diego. cant fathom not being in southern california weather. gonna miss the fall and some of winter but moving back to sd cant come soon enough. i seriously felt myself come back to life out here

An historic event to be able to swim in the Pacific this early in the year especially for people that have been on vacation from colder climates and didn’t expect the SSTs to be this warm. 

 

 

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36 / 8 sunny.  Coldest day of the next 10-14 and perhaps well beyond.  Mid 40s.  Warmer Sunday.  Mon / Tue likely the nicest days of the week sunny low / mid 70s.  Ridge into the east but Wed - Fri still warm but clouds and showers muddy the potential.  Beyond there overall warmer than normal but unsettled.  Looming like 1 - 2 inches of rain from Wed - April 7/8th.

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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