March 2026

[PhiEaglesfan712]

32 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Dont you live in Philadelphia? How do you make these declarative statements for a region you're not even part of. 

Closer to the Philly are, but whether it be NYC or PHL, most of the snowstorms that happened after March 15 are in the middle or or immediately following a very cold period. Just look at 1956, 1958, or 2018, for example. This is not the case this year. Most of the area had 70+ highs today. That's not the weather that preceeds a 2nd half of March snowstorm.

This isn't the New England region, where the sun angle as weaker and snow is a more common occurrence after March 15.

[NEG NAO]

7 hours ago, Freezing Drizzle said:

Hit 70 F from northern Monmouth southwest to Delaware.

Parts of northern most Middlesex County reached 72 - all depended on how much sunshine you received which varied widely from town to town.

[MJO812]

Models are much flatter with the storms for next week in regards to snow. Just need more amplification. 

[NEG NAO]

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Models are much flatter with the storms for next week in regards to snow. Just need more amplification. 

that is going to vary model run to model run until we get much closer to the potential - still over 200 hours away - important thing right now is that it is showing up around the same time period on several different OP models and Ensemble Means run after run...

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

that is going to vary model run to model run until we get much closer to the potential - still over 200 hours away - important thing right now is that it is showing up around the same time period on several different OP models and Ensemble Means run after run...

Agree. I like the pna spiking here.

[NEG NAO]

This potential is reminding me of this March storm

Snow storm, March 18, 1994 - Storm Summary

[MJO812]

Euro has nothing for the possible snow event. Onto the models later on.

[TriPol]

Enjoy the warm weather guys. May we reach 80 degrees quickly!

[PhiEaglesfan712]

5 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

This potential is reminding me of this March storm

Snow storm, March 18, 1994 - Storm Summary

This is the Central Park in March 1994 leading up to the event:

1994-03-01	38	24	31.0	-7.8	34	0	0.00	0.0	2
1994-03-02	30	26	28.0	-11.0	37	0	0.40	4.0	2
1994-03-03	35	27	31.0	-8.2	34	0	0.62	1.0	7
1994-03-04	48	30	39.0	-0.5	26	0	0.00	0.0	7
1994-03-05	45	34	39.5	-0.2	25	0	0.00	0.0	5
1994-03-06	42	30	36.0	-4.0	29	0	T	T	4
1994-03-07	50	33	41.5	1.3	23	0	0.00	0.0	4
1994-03-08	48	35	41.5	1.0	23	0	0.12	0.0	1
1994-03-09	36	30	33.0	-7.7	32	0	0.29	T	T
1994-03-10	46	32	39.0	-2.0	26	0	1.62	0.0	T
1994-03-11	47	31	39.0	-2.2	26	0	0.00	0.0	T
1994-03-12	46	26	36.0	-5.5	29	0	0.00	0.0	T
1994-03-13	52	33	42.5	0.7	22	0	T	0.0	T
1994-03-14	54	41	47.5	5.4	17	0	0.00	0.0	T
1994-03-15	55	41	48.0	5.7	17	0	0.11	0.0	T
1994-03-16	45	24	34.5	-8.1	30	0	T	T	0
1994-03-17	37	21	29.0	-13.9	36	0	0.02	0.3	T
1994-03-18	33	25	29.0	-14.2	36	0	0.26	2.8	0

Highs were in the 30s, 40s, and 50s in the lead-up to the snowstorm. That is nothing like we have this year. Highs are going to be in the 70s the next few days. Unless you live in New England, you are not getting a snowstorm from here on out. The ground is just too warm and the sun angle is too high.

[bluewave]

21 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

I wonder if we will be saying that about the cold and snow too at some point in the second half of the month - various models are signaling a large east coast storm at some point with polar/arctic air involved

Generally looks like the magnitude of any colder weather during mid to later March will be of a weaker magnitude than the warmth this week. 

 

[jm1220]

2 hours ago, TriPol said:

Enjoy the warm weather guys. May we reach 80 degrees quickly!

This time of year the temps will usually overshoot guidance-leaves aren’t on the trees yet so less evapotranspiration. When the high is supposed to be 65, expect 70 as long as winds aren’t onshore which is always another question. 

[EastonSN+]

In keeping with the 1970s comparison;

1.) NYC hit 70+ three times in March of 1977:

March 10: 70

March 29: 78

March 30: 75

March 31 close with 69

2.) NYC hit 80+ three times in April 1977:

April 12: 85

April 13: 85

April 22: 83

Can we get as warm as 1977? Would be nice for a change.

[EastonSN+]

1 hour ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

This is the Central Park in March 1994 leading up to the event:

1994-03-01	38	24	31.0	-7.8	34	0	0.00	0.0	2
1994-03-02	30	26	28.0	-11.0	37	0	0.40	4.0	2
1994-03-03	35	27	31.0	-8.2	34	0	0.62	1.0	7
1994-03-04	48	30	39.0	-0.5	26	0	0.00	0.0	7
1994-03-05	45	34	39.5	-0.2	25	0	0.00	0.0	5
1994-03-06	42	30	36.0	-4.0	29	0	T	T	4
1994-03-07	50	33	41.5	1.3	23	0	0.00	0.0	4
1994-03-08	48	35	41.5	1.0	23	0	0.12	0.0	1
1994-03-09	36	30	33.0	-7.7	32	0	0.29	T	T
1994-03-10	46	32	39.0	-2.0	26	0	1.62	0.0	T
1994-03-11	47	31	39.0	-2.2	26	0	0.00	0.0	T
1994-03-12	46	26	36.0	-5.5	29	0	0.00	0.0	T
1994-03-13	52	33	42.5	0.7	22	0	T	0.0	T
1994-03-14	54	41	47.5	5.4	17	0	0.00	0.0	T
1994-03-15	55	41	48.0	5.7	17	0	0.11	0.0	T
1994-03-16	45	24	34.5	-8.1	30	0	T	T	0
1994-03-17	37	21	29.0	-13.9	36	0	0.02	0.3	T
1994-03-18	33	25	29.0	-14.2	36	0	0.26	2.8	0

Highs were in the 30s, 40s, and 50s in the lead-up to the snowstorm. That is nothing like we have this year. Highs are going to be in the 70s the next few days. Unless you live in New England, you are not getting a snowstorm from here on out. The ground is just too warm and the sun angle is too high.

February, but in a sea of warmth we had a snowstorm. I mean 60s and 70s and it snowed.

It all has to do with intensity, track and cold air. Basically all the normal ingredients we just lose some light snow during daytime ability.

[NEG NAO]

1 hour ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

This is the Central Park in March 1994 leading up to the event:

1994-03-01	38	24	31.0	-7.8	34	0	0.00	0.0	2
1994-03-02	30	26	28.0	-11.0	37	0	0.40	4.0	2
1994-03-03	35	27	31.0	-8.2	34	0	0.62	1.0	7
1994-03-04	48	30	39.0	-0.5	26	0	0.00	0.0	7
1994-03-05	45	34	39.5	-0.2	25	0	0.00	0.0	5
1994-03-06	42	30	36.0	-4.0	29	0	T	T	4
1994-03-07	50	33	41.5	1.3	23	0	0.00	0.0	4
1994-03-08	48	35	41.5	1.0	23	0	0.12	0.0	1
1994-03-09	36	30	33.0	-7.7	32	0	0.29	T	T
1994-03-10	46	32	39.0	-2.0	26	0	1.62	0.0	T
1994-03-11	47	31	39.0	-2.2	26	0	0.00	0.0	T
1994-03-12	46	26	36.0	-5.5	29	0	0.00	0.0	T
1994-03-13	52	33	42.5	0.7	22	0	T	0.0	T
1994-03-14	54	41	47.5	5.4	17	0	0.00	0.0	T
1994-03-15	55	41	48.0	5.7	17	0	0.11	0.0	T
1994-03-16	45	24	34.5	-8.1	30	0	T	T	0
1994-03-17	37	21	29.0	-13.9	36	0	0.02	0.3	T
1994-03-18	33	25	29.0	-14.2	36	0	0.26	2.8	0

Highs were in the 30s, 40s, and 50s in the lead-up to the snowstorm. That is nothing like we have this year. Highs are going to be in the 70s the next few days. Unless you live in New England, you are not getting a snowstorm from here on out. The ground is just too warm and the sun angle is too high.

Temps leading up to it have no effect - and ground temps adapt fast to any cold air present at the time the precip is falling - we have had accumulations on the ground in October - I think you know this but are just trying to cause confrontations here