March 2026

[EasternLI]

Really impressive.

 

 

[Brian5671]

30 minutes ago, EasternLI said:

Really impressive.

 

 

The cold was relentless...there was a 10 day break in early Jan but that was it.   

[SACRUS]

The clearing never worked down much south beyond i-80

 

EWR: 47 / 37 (+3)
NYC: 49 / 35 (+3)

[forkyfork]

41 minutes ago, EasternLI said:

Really impressive.

 

 

any record lows?

[EasternLI]

16 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

any record lows?

Nah, that's a thing of the past. 

[jm1220]

10 hours ago, psv88 said:

Ah yes. My favorite time of year. When it’s in the 70s in Quebec and the 50s on Long Island. 

Our dirt ice piles in the shopping malls might last a couple days longer than the Hudson Valley’s though. 

[donsutherland1]

Dry weather will be short-lived. Additional rain will arrive tomorrow and continue into Friday. A general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall is likely. Highs will likely reach the lower 40s tomorrow and Friday. 

It will turn noticeably warmer during the weekend. Long Island and coastal sections could be noticeably cooler than interior sections on a number of days on account of a chilly onshore flow.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around February 25. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.62°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.28°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have now developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was +19.53 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.240 today. 

 

[BoulderWX]

1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

Our dirt ice piles in the shopping malls might last a couple days longer than the Hudson Valley’s though. 

Ha! So excited to see it all go over the next week. Was a good winter but glad it’s pretty much over! 

[the_other_guy]

3 hours ago, EasternLI said:

Really impressive.

 

 

Next winter is going to suck.

[MJO812]

1 hour ago, the_other_guy said:

Next winter is going to suck.

Magic ball ?

[PhiEaglesfan712]

1 hour ago, the_other_guy said:

Next winter is going to suck.

Not really, recently all of our cold/snowy winters seem to be consecutive: 2002-03, 2003-04, 2004-05; 2008-09, 2009-10, 2010-11; and 2013-14, 2014-15.

[jm1220]

9 hours ago, BoulderWX said:

Ha! So excited to see it all go over the next week. Was a good winter but glad it’s pretty much over! 

Snow is taking a beating-yesterday with temps well in the 40s and sun and definitely today with rain and 40. 

[jm1220]

9 hours ago, the_other_guy said:

Next winter is going to suck.

If we go into a weak to moderate Nino hopefully not. Would still be great to get out of this perma-Nina state with the boiling western Pacific dominating the pattern. 

[EastonSN+]

8 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

Not really, recently all of our cold/snowy winters seem to be consecutive: 2002-03, 2003-04, 2004-05; 2008-09, 2009-10, 2010-11; and 2013-14, 2014-15.

Not recent, and the 2nd year was only 29.4 barely above average, however you can include 77/78 and 78/79 (77/78 also had 2 KUs, one of which mixed with sleet like this year and the other a bomb cyclone like this year).

[BoulderWX]

12 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Snow is taking a beating-yesterday with temps well in the 40s and sun and definitely today with rain and 40. 

Yup and the weekend will take care of the rest in time for the beautiful weather next week 

[WeatherGeek2025]

still looking interesting from March 12th-20th if you're looking for snow!

[jm1220]

10 minutes ago, BoulderWX said:

Yup and the weekend will take care of the rest in time for the beautiful weather next week 

Beautiful is always tough to come by here. Those waters are chilly and stay that way for 2+ more months. 

[EastonSN+]

This is interesting.

Only 4 winters starting with 1970 through last year had over 5 inches of snow in both December and March.

 

[wthrmn654]

What's been also relentless is my snow pack.. I still have a snow pack dating back to what.. January snow sleet storm and then the blizzard?  This is from a few mintues ago. I'm guessing 3-5 inches still solid snow pack with snow on my roof and other roofs in areas still....

[bluewave]

With a little luck, the worst of the heat this summer stays to our West. But you can see the case for pieces of heat coming east from time to time.

Developing El Niño summers after La Niña winters have sometimes featured the strongest heat out West. Looks like a bit of a continuation of the winter pattern with the strongest Euro heat signal out West like we saw with the record warmth there this winter.

The spring forecast also suggests an active backdoor potential with the Northeast being the coolest relative to other areas 
 

 

 

[Freezing Drizzle]

2 minutes ago, bluewave said:

With a little luck, the worst of the heat this summer stays to our West. But you can see the case for pieces of heat coming east from time to time.

Developing El Niño summers after La Niña winters have sometimes featured the strongest heat out West. Looks like a bit of a continuation of the winter pattern with the strongest Euro heat signal out West like we saw with the record warmth there this winter.

The spring forecast also suggests an active backdoor potential with the Northeast being the coolest relative to other areas 
 

 

 

"The spring forecast also suggests an active backdoor potential with the Northeast being the coolest relative to other areas."

Yeah, springtime can be overrated in this area. smh 
When my son moved to Philadelphia, I told him. "At least you'll have milder springs."
He does. Blooms of the same plants run a week or two earlier there.
 

[bluewave]

4 minutes ago, Freezing Drizzle said:

"The spring forecast also suggests an active backdoor potential with the Northeast being the coolest relative to other areas."

Yeah, springtime can be overrated in this area. smh 
When my son moved to Philadelphia, I told him. "At least you'll have milder springs."
He does. Blooms of the same plants run a week or two earlier there.
 

I posted this in the main ENSO thread and CC forum.

If we do see another stronger El Niño so soon after 2023-2024, then it may be another piece of the puzzle indicating that the PCC has shifted positive leading to the big spike in global temperatures since 2023. We probably need to get past the spring forecast barrier in order to know the details of how strong this one gets.

It’s possible that the faster rate of warming since 2023 is related to a shift in the newly discovered PCC near Nino 1.2. Notice the current Nino 1.2 temperatures have warmed in recent weeks. The last El Niño in 2023-2024 also experienced earlier warming than past events as the Nino 1+2 warming was early also.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-52731-6?utm_campaign=related_content&utm_source=HEALTH&utm_medium=communities

Much recent work focused on whether equatorial Pacific cooling over past decades is driven by anthropogenic effects or arises from internally-generated climate variability, like the IPO. A definitive anthropogenic link to the recent trends would allow us to reliably predict a cooler tropical Pacific. As the tropical Pacific is known to be a climatic pacemaker, for (at least) the near-future this would mitigate global warming via ocean heat uptake and low-level cloud feedbacks. Instead, if the cyclic IPO dominates the recent cooling, we may expect a strong warming when it reverses. In support of the first possibility, we have identified an emerging climate change signal in the tropical Pacific across different observational datasets and we call it the PCC. The PCC has distinctive ocean-atmosphere dynamics that differ from those associated with the IPO. We further demonstrate that the recent trends during the satellite era, which have been the focus of significant attention, result from a combination of IPO and PCC. The emerging PCC SST trend pattern features a narrow band of cooling in the eastern equatorial Pacific and warming elsewhere. 

Throughout this paper we have taken for granted the widespread assumption that the IPO is an internal mode of the climate system. However, while we worked to distinguish between the recurrent IPO-related decadal variability and the emerging PCC signal, we are open to the possibility that these two may have become coupled together by anthropogenic forcing. They have much in common: shoaling of the thermocline in the east, enhanced upwelling somewhere in the central-to-eastern equatorial Pacific and an enhanced zonal SST gradient across the equatorial Pacific. It seems reasonable to postulate that if the response to radiative forcing is the emerging PCC pattern seen here, then it could initiate coupled ocean-atmosphere feedbacks that favor a negative IPO state that also has an enhanced SST gradient²⁴. This might explain why the most recent IPO swing has been extreme and robust (Fig. S1b). If so, this suggests that in nature forcing is projecting onto natural modes of variability, while it is not clear whether climate models can reproduce this behavior. A new perspective on how internal variability interacts with the climate change signal will be needed in future studies

[Brian5671]

models showing 1.5-2 inches of rain today-nice drought denter and alot of the snowpack will go...

[Santa Claus]

been a long time since a day like this

[jm1220]

37 minutes ago, bluewave said:

With a little luck, the worst of the heat this summer stays to our West. But you can see the case for pieces of heat coming east from time to time.

Developing El Niño summers after La Niña winters have sometimes featured the strongest heat out West. Looks like a bit of a continuation of the winter pattern with the strongest Euro heat signal out West like we saw with the record warmth there this winter.

The spring forecast also suggests an active backdoor potential with the Northeast being the coolest relative to other areas 
 

 

 

Yep. The minute I start seeing the low heights over the Maritimes in the spring, I know what that means here. Hoping somehow we can keep ridging and westerly flow. 

[WeatherGeek2025]