Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale

[stormtracker]

9 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

We miss you here. Hope things are good for you up in NE. 

This man abandoned us for snowier pastures.  Single handedly reduced the black population in this forum by 25%.  

I will not forgive. 

[Maestrobjwa]

5 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

This man abandoned us for snowier pastures.  Single handedly reduced the black population in this forum by 25%.  

I will not forgive. 

Oh dang all this time I didn't know he was a brother, lol

[ravensrule]

12 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

This man abandoned us for snowier pastures.  Single handedly reduced the black population in this forum by 25%.  

I will not forgive. 

Damn i never knew he was black. You learn something new every day. I wish i could join his pasture. 

[WxWatcher007]

1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Oh dang all this time I didn't know he was a brother, lol

I am. Are you?

55 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

Damn i never knew he was black. You learn something new every day. I wish i could join his pasture. 

We just churn 'em out up here. 

[snowfan]

So the global suite seems to be onboard for the moment with the lead wave early next week giving this sub snow. 6Z GFS is stronger with the cold push and as a result, better wrt snow outcomes. 

 

[Duca892]

Philly region is dead but what a caper this would be

[snowfan]

From LWX

KEY MESSAGE 3... Wintry precipitation threats are possible early
next week.

Following a dry weekend, shortwave troughing pivoting to the north
will push a surface cold front across the region on Monday. As the
trough pivots over the Great Lakes towards the Northeast, moisture
originating from the Pacific approaches the area. With the event
being toward the end of the forecast period, there remains a good
deal of spread within the model guidance. While global guidance
agrees on precipitation during the day, the discrepancies are with
precipitation type. Marginal temperatures in the 30s during the day
will drop into the mid to upper 20s overnight. The 00z GFS has snow
staying along the MD/PA border with those farther south getting a
mix of sleet/snow. The 00z ECMWF/Canadian has primarily snow across
the area. Chances for a winter weather event remain low given the
model discrepancies, but will certainly continue to monitor in
subsequent forecast shifts.

[mitchnick]

14 minutes ago, snowfan said:

So the global suite seems to be onboard for the moment with the lead wave early next week giving this sub snow. 6Z GFS is stronger with the cold push and as a result, better wrt snow outcomes. 

 

Not quite my 100 miles, but getting there. Hopefully, not all the way to the EuroAI.

Wait, who am I trying to kid here? Lol

[Ji]

6z Dr no

No

Late and weak with wave. Just a light mix. Hopefully a blip

Horrific run

[mitchnick]

 As you would expect, Gefs snowfall came south.

[Ji]

 As you would expect, Gefs snowfall came south.

Euro no storm of course

[mitchnick]

6z Eps 24hr snowfall at 144hrs. Eps thinks there's something to next week. Probably would have been more if run didn't stop at 144hrs.

[TSSN+]

2 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

6z Eps 24hr snowfall at 144hrs. Eps thinks there's something to next week. Probably would have been more if run didn't stop at 144hrs.

[Ji]

Nice try. Show us the 6z

[TSSN+]

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

Nice try. Show us the 6z

I don’t like 6/18z euro always seems to be a big swing from 0/12z I only really pay attention to the on runs. 

[Ji]

Sounds like we need this wave to come in hot and early on Monday before the high-pressure move out

[BlizzardNole]

I'd love for us to get lucky with this chance, then have a March at like 10F above normal.

[Maestrobjwa]

7 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I am. Are you?

We just churn 'em out up here. 

I am 

[J.Mike]

12 hours ago, stormtracker said:

Come on man, whatever happened to promises made, promises kept. 

Reel in 8" of snow to close Metro above ground.

Then it's dinner time 

[WxWatcher007]

14 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

I am 

My man!

 

[stormtracker]

Just looking at the GFS now and you just gotta laugh at how there's a ton of cold pressing just on top of us and the GFS in previous solutions not holding on to snow or frozen.  Maybe this run  will change

[DMAC98]

1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said:

I am 

Your resident n00b is as well ✋

[stormtracker]

GFS looks....pretty good so far

[ravensrule]

47 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

My man!

 

Damn, you are Denzel Washington?. 

[stormtracker]

Much  colder and nice slug of moisture out west heading for us

[DMAC98]

Further S so should be a better run

[stormtracker]

Oh man...plenty cold enough and better run

[ravensrule]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Much  colder and nice slug of moisture out west heading for us

Talk dirty to me. 

[clskinsfan]

GFS is sweet this run. Snow for all....

[LP08]

Mid 20’s and snow.  We take