MJO812 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Dead in here. Need some more maps Euro came west 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Dead in here. Need some more maps Absolutely everyone is napping. I just woke up got 3 hours of sleep tracking last night till 5 am. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: Absolutely everyone is napping. I just woke up got 3 hours of sleep tracking last night till 5 am. Yup gonna be a long 36hrs ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Duca892 said: Yup gonna be a long 36hrs ahead Sleep now because you won't be sleeping tomorrow night 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago The European shifted a bit East from 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro came west Actually a bit east....but noise at this point... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, ChescoWx said: The European shifted a bit East from 12z This seemed like mostly noise to me. The precip field in general shifted northwest albeit slightly but the slug of moisture wasn’t as apparent towards PHI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago EPS ensembles keeping a slightly further west cluster compared to 12z based off MSLP. Looks to reduce far eastern outliers as well. Don’t have precip output 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Lucy Pull said: This seemed like mostly noise to me. The precip field in general shifted northwest albeit slightly but the slug of moisture wasn’t as apparent towards PHI For reference… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Western side continues to tighten and tighten. Feel really good about my 4-8in for the Lehigh Valley and 6-12 from bucks to Philly 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I feel that we’ll see a consensus start to build at 00z. 18z NAM and 18z GFS had a pretty large discrepancy with heights out in front by hour 6 already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 21z SREFs coming in more tucked/amped. Should mean NAM holds serve at 0z. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Newman said: 21z SREFs coming in more tucked/amped. Should mean NAM holds serve at 0z. I believe this has some recon data from the South as well? Or is that reserved for the true 0z models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Quite the NBM for what it is worth.... 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Quite the NBM for what it is worth.... Does this have a raw QPF output? I feel like ratios could be quite generous for this map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 17 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Western side continues to tighten and tighten. Feel really good about my 4-8in for the Lehigh Valley and 6-12 from bucks to Philly I’m going with Mt Holly again 8-16” they have been dead on in Berks this season 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12 minutes ago, Lucy Pull said: I believe this has some recon data from the South as well? Or is that reserved for the true 0z models? I think that data will be for the 00z models. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Quite the NBM for what it is worth.... The NBM ratios are likely too high as it usually runs on the higher side. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, MGorse said: The NBM ratios are likely too high as it usually runs on the higher side. It has been that way if memory serves for all of the winter events this season.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, penndotguy said: I’m going with Mt Holly again 8-16” they have been dead on in Berks this season I always go with Mt. Holly - I truly believe we have the best professional team in this country!! 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 25 minutes ago, Newman said: 21z SREFs coming in more tucked/amped. Should mean NAM holds serve at 0z. You have a member at Dennis Twp NW Cape May County over land talk about backing in crazy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted 52 minutes ago Share Posted 52 minutes ago 9 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: You have a member at Dennis Twp NW Cape May County over land talk about backing in crazy. Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairie Dog Posted 51 minutes ago Share Posted 51 minutes ago JOE AND JOE weather with Bill Goodman from Tauton LIVE NOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 51 minutes ago Share Posted 51 minutes ago Fun little contest for shits and giggles… which town in the mt holly CWA reports the highest total? Winner gets a pat on the back and a beer if you come pick it up. I’m going to go Wall Township, NJ at 31”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vogelhund Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago 3 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Fun little contest for shits and giggles… which town in the mt holly CWA reports the highest total? Winner gets a pat on the back and a beer if you come pick it up. I’m going to go Wall Township, NJ at 31”. Chescowx normally wins these Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted 44 minutes ago Share Posted 44 minutes ago Nah…Likely in NJ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 43 minutes ago Share Posted 43 minutes ago 28 minutes ago, Lucy Pull said: Does this have a raw QPF output? I feel like ratios could be quite generous for this map. That’s the current version (4.3), which tends to run high. The experimental version (5.0), which will become operational this spring, is lower. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcwx Posted 42 minutes ago Share Posted 42 minutes ago 20 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: I always go with Mt. Holly - I truly believe we have the best professional team in this country!! agreed... and no incentive to inflate/deflate anything to get clicks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 36 minutes ago Share Posted 36 minutes ago Here’s the 23z NBM v.5.0: 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted 33 minutes ago Share Posted 33 minutes ago 1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said: Here’s the 23z NBM v.5.0: Still really likes the Poconos but much more reasonable IMO. Thanks for posting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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