NorthArlington101 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 I’ve been pretty conservative but the EPS looks like a fairly healthy cave 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Big question is are we done trending.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 22 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Hey what did you decide to do ? I’m currently somewhere over Southern VA 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I’m currently somewhere over Southern VA Tell Chill hi 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I’m currently somewhere over Southern VA I can't see how this is anything but good luck for us sticking with the ship Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I’ve been pretty conservative but the EPS looks like a fairly healthy cave 12z yesterday to 12z today 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NVAwx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, snowfan said: Thanks! We've heard from two of their best. Expect the WSSI to update this afternoon. Wonder if they'll do an updated graphic/post at 3:30 pm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, Nomz said: 12z yesterday to 12z today Need almost the same over the next 24 hours to reel in the coastal. I think GFS and Euro are trending to each other more than anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Not_An_Anti-Dentite Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Here is CWG's post-mortem on their Snowquester (March 6, 2013) forecast. As they state, "The best forecast for Snowquester was one we could not issue with a straight face ... snow accumulations of 0-14 inches." As I recall, despite snowing much of the day almost everything melted on contact. DCA reported .2 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 EURO isn't taking the GFS path to a win for us - we've got two different paths to success here. Beginning to feel a litttle comfortable. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 5 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmvpete Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 12 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Matches my thoughts well. Coating to 2" for I-95, 2" - 4" immediate suburbs, 4" - 6" in the elevation favored areas, maybe a few 6"+ reports if you get a combo of the three items you listed above. Amazing how we're tripping into this event. First time in awhile I've seen the GFS take the lead on anything. Makes you wonder how much more can change. A couple days ago, the recent winter storm that occurred in the Midwest was forecast to maybe produce 4-8" of snow from Omaha to southwest WI. This morning, some folks in Iowa woke up to over a foot of snow. Crazy things can happen under these highly anomalous upper lows and rapidly strengthening coastal lows. We all know that of course, but in terms of recency bias, ask the folks in North Carolina from several weeks back about that. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 hour ago, Nomz said: Pretty sure DC record is like 22” I think DCA was dumbly low again at 18 while all others were 22-24” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: EURO isn't taking the GFS path to a win for us - we've got two different paths to success here. Beginning to feel a litttle comfortable. My thoughts exactly. If we need the coastal to win we are in trouble, strictly speaking by climo. But even then, the Euro doesn't hate us. So I'm not exactly uncomfortable as much as...cautiously optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 hour ago, Nomz said: Pretty sure DC record is like 22” Knickerbocker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 20 Author Share Posted February 20 New movement...I mean thread! "There's no way..." Storm Part 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Someone probably posted this a bit ago, but the GEFS really hasnt backed off the tucked solutions at all. Pretty amazing. Orientation / trajectory / position changed a bit, but I see no caving to the easterly/OTS low solutions that euro suite was spitting out. Caving to the GFS, who'd have thunk it. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, NVAwx said: Thanks!We've heard from two of their best. Yep. Thanks to all the mets weighing in. Regulars and less-regulars. Good stuff in last few pages. Meaning realistic and useful good, now necessarily omg sn++++ imby good. Read 'em weenies. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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