LP08 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago May be a tick east but still should be good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago GFS is still a bomb 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, NorthArlington101 said: GFS is still a bomb There were some changes I liked on the H5 some too 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago The other models are trending towards the GFS still, and so the compromise continues to improve... we didn't expect a full cave to GFS and capture type of modeled solution. This is good stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Still a sizable hit. But temps are ugly at first Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago May be a bit east but bombs away next few frames Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Still a sizable hit. But temps are ugly at first I think we’re counting on rates to overcome in this depiction. Not sure Conn Ave will cave during the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Pretty similar result, bullseye is still east of the Bay but it is largely a hit. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago BWI gonna be over 20” 10:1. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago AI GFS is jumping into the Op GFS camp 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, stormtracker said: Still a sizable hit. But temps are ugly at first The low getting going and deepening is important to cleaning up the column when the heavies get going. Glad this is Feb 22nd not March 2nd, not a huge difference but it helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, NorthArlington101 said: I think we’re counting on rates to overcome in this depiction. Not sure Conn Ave will cave during the day Feeling slightly better about leaving, but not much. It’s still a good storm. Get those heavy rates and ya set. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Not saying its the same... but didn't we have an early March storm some years ago that was kinda like this at least temperature-wise? Where it was very iffy and we just happened to be lucky and the qpf was all snow? It was a heavy wet snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I'll take this run of the GFS. It is mostly locked in. Js=ust some small movements of the LP. Looks even deeper this run at 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Who has a clown map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, LeesburgWx said: I'll take this run of the GFS. It is mostly locked in. Js=ust some small movements of the LP. Looks even deeper this run at 66 Agreed, AI GFS got better again as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, LeesburgWx said: I'll take this run of the GFS. It is mostly locked in. Js=ust some small movements of the LP. Looks even deeper this run at 66 It is not the surface I am worried about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Pulled the trigger and moved my flight to Chicago to 11 am Sunday from 8 pm. Looks like temps through early afternoon in the DC area look to be above freezing. Us Chicagoians saw all the hell you guys went through a few weeks ago and even we though “damn that’s crazy” :-) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: BWI gonna be over 20” 10:1. Normally we should be banning Kucera maps, this time around we should be banning 10:1 maps. 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: AI GFS is jumping into the Op GFS camp Massive shift actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Who has a clown map? 10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, Interstate said: It is not the surface I am worried about. I see the changes at H5, but we have to roll the dice here. We are like 48 hours out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Anyways, personally I think uva is in a bad spot for this storm but cheering on everyone else! Might head up to nova or Shenandoah to enjoy the snow instead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, MN Transplant said: Normally we should be banning Kucera maps, this time around we should be banning 10:1 maps. So which should we be looking at for our snow fix? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago As long as the GFS doesn't make too many more moves SE, this run went about 30-40 miles in that direction, feeling like this has some teeth. ICON, RGEM, and NAM all made moves in the GFS direction here at 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, yoda said: Acceptable. Can't get much better at this range 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago For those west of the bay, I didn't love this run as much (and I say that without looking at any snow maps). But I'm not too mad. The same general idea. Gonna be a pretty tight margin between the truly epic CCB stuff and the sad peeps., wherever it ultimately ends up. The real saddies are gonna be the ones who miss the CCB and the Norlun if/when it materializes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Kuchie clown just for @MN Transplant 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago GFS still with some clown totals.....not the monster totals for 24hrs ago.....mostly seems the models are coming together in agreement. By the looks of it GFS has destroyed all other models with this event unless something major happens...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Kuchie clown just for @MN Transplant Don't show Randy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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