Kay Posted Thursday at 10:27 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:27 PM 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: It shouldn't...I mean nobody should be seriously buying the GFS right now--not without the support of other guidance. Correct, and nobody is. Everyone is now in a very mature and dignified and composed state about the GFS. Totally philosophical and zen-like. Probably won't see much reaction if and when it caves. 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted Thursday at 10:27 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:27 PM If even one person says “see?” or “I told you so!” or “this is why you don’t trust the GFS” when it eventually caves, I’m gonna go to their house and smack them with a rolled up newspaper. 2 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Thursday at 10:28 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:28 PM 1 minute ago, Ji said: this is why you dont move to winchester for snow Come back to your fb page I'm teaching you where you live 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Thursday at 10:29 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:29 PM 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Dude, it's the Euro. It's guaranteed misery. It's the "Ex-wife" of the forecasting models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted Thursday at 10:29 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:29 PM 1 minute ago, TowsonWeather said: If even one person says “see?” or “I told you so!” or “this is why you don’t trust the GFS” when it eventually caves, I’m gonna go to their house and smack them with a rolled up newspaper. I'm going to smack them with something else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted Thursday at 10:29 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:29 PM 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Dude, it's the Euro. It's guaranteed misery. You can’t spell “You’re not getting snow” without the letters E-U-R-O. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted Thursday at 10:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:31 PM 36 minutes ago, bncho said: That’s about 8” in 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted Thursday at 10:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:32 PM im buying it. A major model that im paying tax money for is showing me a blizzard 48 hours outFool me once, twice, thrice… unplug the damn thing. . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted Thursday at 10:34 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:34 PM The only thing holding me back is the dual low signature now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Thursday at 10:35 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:35 PM 42 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I'm not smart enough to identify the causes of the H5 differences I've pointed out but I imagine its some initial dance of our NS around the one centered further east in Canada. The primary difference I see is the NW to SE vorticity ribbon dropping southeastward in the flow from Canada is more robust and phases with the energy taking the southern route. The SLP over SC begins to develop at that point. As for why it digs more and climbs the coast then tucks as it intensifies, I think it has to do with the ball of vorticity seen here over SW MN that emanates from the tail end of that ribbon, and THEN ultimately phases in- no other model has had that. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted Thursday at 10:39 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:39 PM 33 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Absolutely hilarious to see the GFS show this run after run. Cave tonight at 0z will be epic. You depressos babbling about the cave is worthless. We are here to witness winter weather circumstances and not the end of such. It just didn’t caved so now onto the next cave?? Shut up.! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted Thursday at 10:39 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:39 PM Slippage back east with the low mean on the GEFS. Still an awful lot of tucked members, though. Toss, we're getting a blizzard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted Thursday at 10:43 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:43 PM 32 minutes ago, Ji said: its wet enough for you me and marcus I have not talked to Marcus in like12 years . Have you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Thursday at 10:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:44 PM 5 minutes ago, Paleocene said: Slippage back east with the low mean on the GEFS. Still an awful lot of tucked members, though. Toss, we're getting a blizzard. I'm glad it ticked east. We don't want it coming too far west 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Thursday at 10:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:45 PM 6 minutes ago, Paleocene said: Slippage back east with the low mean on the GEFS. Still an awful lot of tucked members, though. Toss, we're getting a blizzard. Eh, more of a hold. Clustering in the same area mostly 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Thursday at 10:48 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:48 PM Seems that the GFS is playing chicken with the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted Thursday at 10:49 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:49 PM 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Eh, more of a hold. Clustering in the same area mostly One could argue the slightest bit better if clustering with a few members even more inkand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Thursday at 10:51 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:51 PM 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Seems that the GFS is playing chicken with the Euro. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Thursday at 10:55 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:55 PM I have not talked to Marcus in like12 years . Have you?Not since the bbq Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted Thursday at 10:55 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:55 PM gefs continues to tick totals up 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Thursday at 10:55 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:55 PM Very latest from WPC... I like where they got the low! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Thursday at 10:55 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:55 PM I'm glad it ticked east. We don't want it coming too far westActually we do. As far west as possible the last minute east shift 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Thursday at 10:56 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:56 PM Very latest from WPC... I like where they got the low!So we care what wpc says though? We know that the models say 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Thursday at 10:57 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:57 PM Just now, Ji said: Actually we do. As far west as possible the last minute east shift As long as it don't come far enough west that we have mixing issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Thursday at 10:58 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:58 PM 1 minute ago, Ji said: So we care what wpc says though? We know that the models say Doesn't hurt to see what they think 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted Thursday at 10:58 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:58 PM Noticeable uptick in probability from WPC of at least minor impacts for the area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Thursday at 10:59 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:59 PM 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: As long as it don't come far enough west that we have mixing issues My fellow brother in Christ, I HOPE we’re worried about mixing come this time tomorrow, that would mean a lot of things went down. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Thursday at 10:59 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:59 PM Just now, DDweatherman said: My fellow brother in Christ, I HOPE we’re worried about mixing come this time tomorrow, that would mean a lot of things went down. Agreed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted Thursday at 11:04 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:04 PM 8 minutes ago, Jake Wx said: gefs continues to tick totals up 8” at Dulles? Sold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Thursday at 11:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:05 PM 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: 8” at Dulles? Sold. That would get us to climo for the season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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