mattm4242 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I feel pretty good about 12-18ish here, definitely a bit too north for the truly insane numbers. Looks awesome for almost everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 20 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Some of these crush SNE some still more.meh One of them even tickles me with a little blue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 9z SREF is pretty far west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Ya but don't want a last minute pull either.. ill take a tug west though Nah we’re good. It’s pretty much locked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pennfisherman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 What’s a general start time for this? Tomorrow evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Pennfisherman said: What’s a general start time for this? Tomorrow evening? Sunset for many 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 SREFS going wild 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Haven’t looked at SREFs in years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pennfisherman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Sunset for many So soon! It’s amazing the trend this took. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, CoastalWx said: Haven’t looked at SREFs in years. Lol tequila sunrise 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Thing is tucked in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 55 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Heading back tomorrow morning after getting smoked up here yesterday. Perfect timing. Keep the shadowing to my north pls I started out conservative but made it clear my final map was likely to come up. Euro has been playing catch up the whole time and is on a relative island. I could see blizzard conditions well inland (maybe not Litchfield County) regardless of what BOX does. I'm doing maps now, will have out shortly, lets just say it won't be conservative. Too close in and want it to be a final, if possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 8 hours ago, TheSnowman said: Where is this Archive you speak of….. I would Love to look. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 SREFs perform great in non-meteorological situations…otherwise leave them alone. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 The way I know this is a good one is waking up and reviewing all the guidance and saying “I think 15” is the floor here” 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 It’s seriously trying to landfall like 10-12 of those members 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 21 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: I like my spot for a foot or so.. but don't want to see this track east at all A foot might be conservative. Read Ray’s blog 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Why the eff did it plot the mean low there lol. Beer all over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: A foot might be conservative. Read Ray’s blog Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 One thing to note is the 06z EPS mean SLP is coming in stronger than 00z by about 4mb. It’s also stronger than the 06z GEFS by about 6mb. Some EPS members are sub 970. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, CoastalWx said: Why the eff did it plot the mean low there lol. Beer all over. It’s giving more weight to the correct ones 1 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 35 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Big jump west on the 6z EPS also Ya when EPS is wetter than OP this close in - you can pretty much toss it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I’m trying to find any way for this to pull a Feb 2024…the massive rug pull. I don’t see anything like that. To be in SE Mass…this will be historic. The winds will be nuts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Haven’t looked at SREFs in years. I saw a post from UPTON talking about how the SREFS are west lol I didn't think they used them , explains some of their bad calls over the years? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: I saw a post from UPTON talking about how the SREFS are west lol I didn't think they sued them , explains some of their bad calls over the years? Nobody uses them lol. HREF is the new pants dropper now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The way I know this is a good one is waking up and reviewing all the guidance and saying “I think 15” is the floor here” I think 36 is the ceiling 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Talking to @The 4 Seasons earlier, this track is closer to a Feb 2013 than any of the other big ones.. For SNE I like that the band will be mature as it moves in, I've noticed sometimes the banding matures too far northeast for my location. 965-975mb low with 25 miles of benchmark, mature banding overhead, bands rotting over us on Monday. You have to go big totals. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 The BOX AFD is a good read despite their maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think 36 is the ceiling There will be a NEMO band somewhere - 2 faves right now are Monmouth county then SEMASS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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