CoastalWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Ray needs counseling from Jan 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Whoosh… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Let’s just figure out getting the storm here lol Well, that's what I mean....we may depend on it for the western fringes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Someone has to say it!! SREFS just took a monster trend NW and WOW so when do we start talking about the mix line? I can already hear folks bringing up Mar 2017 and Dec 2020 (but that aint happening considering the path) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Ray needs counseling from Jan 2022 It's like Dec 1992 for you. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Someone has to say it!! SREFS just took a monster trend NW and WOW Sorry to ask, but it's this model a good one to follow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Snowcrazed71 said: Sorry to ask, but it's this model a good one to follow? No 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Sorry to ask, but it's this model a good one to follow? usually sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 still about 36-48 hours to onset, don't know if this can come any further NW or N, but it can still trend back SE, let's hope we get consistent runs from here on to go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Sorry to ask, but it's this model a good one to follow? It's right up the top of the list with the AARP, WRF and Icon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: so when do we start talking about the mix line? I can already hear folks bringing up Mar 2017 and Dec 2020 (but that aint happening considering the path) I'll take a 3/17 here all day long, that was a great storm here anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: man if the EPS looked like that, we'd be golden 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 You can see on the 06z GFS, it shifted the 25"ish amounts NE into central NJ....def some LBNE trends. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Someone has to say it!! SREFS just took a monster trend NW and WOW There we go, my best storms bring rain to the Cape. Too bad it's the SREFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Go Kart Mozart said: There we go, my best storms bring rain to the Cape. Too bad it's the SREFS. I mean, I'd rather they be there, than east of the real models... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: bruh, remember where we were 24 hours ago? Sometimes i can't tell the difference between you and Tblizzs posts. Howd you get so jaded was it those storms that ruined you...i dont remember you being like this years ago. I think a low end warning event is a huge win if that happens considering we were legitimately staring down the barrel of a whiff (which is certainly still an option though unlikely) Lol I have been very positive all winter. Call it as I see it. Regarding this one though, a plowable graze was always the most likely outcome I was hedging towards. Check back on thread. And for the whoosh part of this >>> Wouldn’t Channeling our inner sema bitching do us wonders? Look what is does for them… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You can see on the 06z GFS, it shifted the 25"ish amounts NE into central NJ....def some LBNE trends. Keep that coming as we talked about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: man if the EPS looked like that, we'd be golden Not quite as good, but pretty damn good lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I want to see it keep coming west now because I’m def feeling a messenger shuffle with this one. You took the words right out of my mouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Weak for WOR. Shades of 1/15 and 1/22. Congrats SEMA, what else is new… We have had a few of these recently when there is a wave spacing issue...once today's system moves out, I bet this thing shifts eastward, making it a non event for most outside far eastern areas and somewhere in the Mid Atlantic/DelMarVa that gets that Norlun feature. Hope Im wrong.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You can see on the 06z GFS, it shifted the 25"ish amounts NE into central NJ....def some LBNE trends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said: There we go, my best storms bring rain to the Cape. Too bad it's the SREFS. Let’s get the rain to tickle Brett’s son who lives with Scooter. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 The one thing I noticed on that SREF map that I haven't been paying attention to....HOLY EFFING GRADIENT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Keep that coming as we talked about. WOR crowd needs bigger trends that stick. I’m not getting sucked in to this, yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said: The one thing I noticed on that SREF map that I haven't been paying attention to....HOLY EFFING GRADIENT! Must be pretty far west given the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: WOR crowd needs bigger trends that stick. I’m not getting sucked in to this, yet. Yea we need a march 17-like inside d2 nw trend. Stabilization now doesnt so much for us, just makes forecasting amounts easier lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 12 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Sorry to ask, but it's this model a good one to follow? Yeah…follow it right down here 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Must be pretty far west given the track. I wasn't clear....I meant pressure gradient, 65mbs! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: We have had a few of these recently when there is a wave spacing issue...once today's system moves out, I bet this thing shifts eastward, making it a non event for most outside far eastern areas and somewhere in the Mid Atlantic/DelMarVa that gets that Norlun feature. Hope Im wrong.... Good vibes though, we’ll take the scraps and continue piling to the seasonal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Lol I have been very positive all winter. Call it as I see it. Regarding this one though, a plowable graze was always the most likely outcome I was hedging towards. Check back on thread. And for the whoosh part of this >>> Wouldn’t Channeling our inner sema bitching do us wonders? Look what is does for them… Yea, same....probably going to hold off on a first map until late tonight. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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