“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[CoastalWx]

Ray needs counseling from Jan 2022

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Whoosh…

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Let’s just figure out getting the storm here lol

Well, that's what I mean....we may depend on it for the western fringes...

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Someone has to say it!!   SREFS just took a monster trend NW and WOW 

so when do we start talking about the mix line? I can already hear folks bringing up Mar 2017 and Dec 2020

(but that aint happening considering the path)

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Ray needs counseling from Jan 2022

It's like Dec 1992 for you.

[Snowcrazed71]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Someone has to say it!!   SREFS just took a monster trend NW and WOW 

Sorry to ask, but it's this model a good one to follow?

[CT Rain]

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

Sorry to ask, but it's this model a good one to follow?

No

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Sorry to ask, but it's this model a good one to follow?

usually sucks 

[tavwtby]

still about 36-48 hours to onset, don't know if this can come any further NW or N, but it can still trend back SE, let's hope we get consistent runs from here on to go time.

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Sorry to ask, but it's this model a good one to follow?

It's right up the top of the list with the AARP, WRF and Icon

[tavwtby]

3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

so when do we start talking about the mix line? I can already hear folks bringing up Mar 2017 and Dec 2020

(but that aint happening considering the path)

I'll take a 3/17 here all day long, that was a great storm here anyway.

[The 4 Seasons]

7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

 

man if the EPS looked like that, we'd be golden

[40/70 Benchmark]

You can see on the 06z GFS, it shifted the 25"ish amounts NE into central NJ....def some LBNE trends.

[Go Kart Mozart]

9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Someone has to say it!!   SREFS just took a monster trend NW and WOW 

There we go, my best storms bring rain to the Cape.  Too bad it's the SREFS.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Go Kart Mozart said:

There we go, my best storms bring rain to the Cape.  Too bad it's the SREFS.

I mean, I'd rather they be there, than east of the real models...

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

bruh, remember where we were 24 hours ago? Sometimes i can't tell the difference between you and Tblizzs posts. Howd you get so jaded was it those storms that ruined you...i dont remember you being like this years ago. 

I think a low end warning event is a huge win if that happens considering we were legitimately staring down the barrel of a whiff (which is certainly still an option though unlikely) 

Lol I have been very positive all winter. Call it as I see it. Regarding this one though, a plowable graze was always the most likely outcome I was hedging towards. Check back on thread.

And for the whoosh part of this >>> Wouldn’t Channeling our inner sema bitching do us wonders? Look what is does for them… 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You can see on the 06z GFS, it shifted the 25"ish amounts NE into central NJ....def some LBNE trends.

Keep that coming as we talked about.

[Kitz Craver]

2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

man if the EPS looked like that, we'd be golden

Not quite as good, but pretty damn good lol

[codfishsnowman]

19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I want to see it keep coming west now because I’m def feeling a messenger shuffle with this one. 

You took the words right out of my mouth

[Spanks45]

9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Weak for WOR. Shades of 1/15 and 1/22. Congrats SEMA, what else is new…

We have had a few of these recently when there is a wave spacing issue...once today's system moves out, I bet this thing shifts eastward, making it a non event for most outside far eastern areas and somewhere in the Mid Atlantic/DelMarVa that gets that Norlun feature. Hope Im wrong....

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You can see on the 06z GFS, it shifted the 25"ish amounts NE into central NJ....def some LBNE trends.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

There we go, my best storms bring rain to the Cape.  Too bad it's the SREFS.

Let’s get the rain to tickle Brett’s son who lives with Scooter.

[Go Kart Mozart]

The one thing I noticed on that SREF map that I haven't been paying attention to....HOLY EFFING GRADIENT!

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Keep that coming as we talked about.

WOR crowd needs bigger trends that stick.  I’m not getting sucked in to this,  yet. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

The one thing I noticed on that SREF map that I haven't been paying attention to....HOLY EFFING GRADIENT!

Must be pretty far west given the track.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

WOR crowd needs bigger trends that stick.  I’m not getting sucked in to this,  yet. 

Yea we need a march 17-like inside d2 nw trend. Stabilization now doesnt so much for us, just makes forecasting amounts easier lol.

[dendrite]

12 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Sorry to ask, but it's this model a good one to follow?

Yeah…follow it right down here

[Go Kart Mozart]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Must be pretty far west given the track.

I wasn't clear....I meant pressure gradient, 65mbs!

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

We have had a few of these recently when there is a wave spacing issue...once today's system moves out, I bet this thing shifts eastward, making it a non event for most outside far eastern areas and somewhere in the Mid Atlantic/DelMarVa that gets that Norlun feature. Hope Im wrong....

Good vibes though, we’ll take the scraps and continue piling to the seasonal. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Lol I have been very positive all winter. Call it as I see it. Regarding this one though, a plowable graze was always the most likely outcome I was hedging towards. Check back on thread.

And for the whoosh part of this >>> Wouldn’t Channeling our inner sema bitching do us wonders? Look what is does for them… 

Yea, same....probably going to hold off on a first map until late tonight.