Winter Storm Threat Feb 22-24th

[MJO812]

Just now, Brasiluvsnow said:

gulp,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

Uh

[SACRUS]

 

2/20 EURO AI AIFS Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

 

[Jt17]

AI Euro came in a hair east.

Not trying to be a wet blanket but .9-.5 for nyc would be a bummer. Although I do like the Euro AI doesn't believe in the hitting a brick wall and exiting left. More uniform output from north to south.


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[Brasiluvsnow]

1 minute ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/20 EURO AI AIFS Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

 

seeing where we were at 12 hours ago I think that most people would sign up for this BUT it is so close ,,,,

[Irish]

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Go to bed

Worry about the newborn. 

[Jt17]

Not trying to be a wet blanket but .9-.5 for nyc would be a bummer. Although I do like the Euro AI doesn't believe in the hitting a brick wall and exiting left. More uniform output from north to south.


.

.9 before to .5 on this run I mean. I know it's just a 1 off solution and could just be a wobble with many more runs to go, so don't come at me. lol


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[Nibor]

Euro is gonna be a little bit east this run. Trough axis is a little too east and the western ridge isn't as amped.

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, Nibor said:

Euro is gonna be a little bit east this run. Trough axis is a little too east and the western ridge isn't as amped.

A little east but quite similiar.

[Brasiluvsnow]

on that note I guess we get back at this in the morning and hope for the best ,,,,,,Good Night All

[Nibor]

Just now, MJO812 said:

A little east but quite similiar.

Some minor differences really change things for us. Gonna be tiring watching the models tomorrow.

[Nibor]

47 minutes ago, Irish said:

There are so many whiny babies on this board. Holy cow!  When models show nothing, the crying and calls for spring begin. Then when models swing back, you have some folks that get hyper pumped and others saying how much models suck and they don't believe it. 

Can't we just track, report and enjoy the journey?  

I wish. There's a gaggle of insufferables that inhabit this place. 

[Rjay]

Tomorrow night we should know if we still have high-end potential or if we're going to get "edged" again. 

[Wxbear25]

2 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Tomorrow night we should know if we still have high-end potential or if we're going to get "edged" again. 

If I wanted to get edged I could handle that myself

[MJO812]

Euro is a tick east but still nice

[winterwx21]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Euro is a tick east but still nice

I'd be thrilled to get 5 inches from this. I'm glad the bad trends of the last couple days stopped and we're headed back in the right direction tonight. A light to moderate event looks likely. 

[Wxbear25]

If I had to guess I’d say the AIFS ensembles will be a little east as well, lower heights ahead of it, a little more lingering of that stupid SE Canada malarkey

[RedSky]

1 hour ago, Irish said:

There are so many whiny babies on this board. Holy cow!  When models show nothing, the crying and calls for spring begin. Then when models swing back, you have some folks that get hyper pumped and others saying how much models suck and they don't believe it. 

Can't we just track, report and enjoy the journey?  

Do you know where you are this is thunderdome 

[Wxbear25]

Whelp, I’m out for tonight, good to see the other models come more towards the GFS than vice-versa tonight. Hopefully that trend continues tomorrow with a little more latitude thrown the GFS’ way

[MJO812]

Eps

[MJO812]

Weathernet further west

18z vs 0z