nycsnow Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 11 minutes ago, TJW014 said: I swear if this winds up being a rain storm I'd be more angry than if it whiffed, aside from putting a dent in the drought Well you can probably eliminate the Ukie there is literally 0 support for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Rgem was a lot better at 6z as well 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 17 minutes ago, Tatamy said: 06z NAM has zip. 06z Ukie has rain from the city south at 66 hours. It’s like these models are all in separate worlds. Those models also suck. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 47 minutes ago, TJW014 said: 60 hours till go time. 48….start time is Sunday 6am - 9am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Ai is the same 2mb stronger 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago My local NWS forecast already has 3” - 7” for Sunday/Sunday night… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Euro is wet of 00z but has a crappy precip field lol people bowing down to this model? It sucks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 28 minutes ago, TJW014 said: I swear if this winds up being a rain storm I'd be more angry than if it whiffed, aside from putting a dent in the drought I’m not worried about it being rain, it’s probably from poor dynamics before the storm takes off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Euro nothing like the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Just now, nycsnow said: Euro is wet of 00z but has a crappy precip field lol people bowing down to this model? It sucks Well as great as the GFs was for us, we really need to see other guidance jump on to have any faith in that kind of outcome. A minor/moderate brush still very much on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Just now, Stormlover74 said: Euro nothing like the gfs The low was in a better spot, precip field just looks weird. Euro has been all over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Just now, jm1220 said: Well as great as the GFs was for us, we really need to see other guidance jump on to have any faith in that kind of outcome. A minor/moderate brush still very much on the table. I agree; euro technically did go west but not like gfs I wouldn’t worry about precip field yet… but you’d think 970s/980s low south of LI would have a better looking map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Icon eps west with more west leaners Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago The trend is “our” friend. The NWS is bumping accumulations in their forecast. I’m excited even though I am far south! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Sunday Snow likely, mainly after 1pm. Cloudy, with a steady temperature around 35. East wind 13 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Sunday Night Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Euro was right there though. Ignoring qpf output until 500mb is ironed out. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 2 minutes ago, EasternLI said: Euro was right there though. Ignoring qpf output until 500mb is ironed out. And the low was def west but precip output worse than 00z weird 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago There are so many whiny babies on this board. Holy cow! When models show nothing, the crying and calls for spring begin. Then when models swing back, you have some folks that get hyper pumped and others saying how much models suck and they don't believe it. Can't we just track, report and enjoy the journey? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Good to see the euro shit the bed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago The Euro pulling a bit of a windshield wiper effect going a bit east gives me pause but what I'd give for the GFS to verify. I have GFS failure PTSD though so I just can't trust that damn thing. It's still the only model brining the big snows up here. Edit: I see that the 6z Euro moved back west a bit. This is one of the most unpredictable forecasts that I can remember 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago AI EPS getting closer... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago Euro aifs are west with more members west as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
njwx7 Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago Just now, nycsnow said: Euro aifs are west with more members west as well wow - all except one sub 980 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago Very unlikely Euro will be this wrong vs the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxbear25 Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago Even if this whole thing manages to miss us somehow, can we all agree on the fact that calling threats, especially incredibly complex ones such as this, over is stupid? 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxbear25 Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 2 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Very unlikely Euro will be this wrong vs the GFS Even a blind squirrel is right twice a day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago Regular EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 4 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Very unlikely Euro will be this wrong vs the GFS Which euro you wanna go with? 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 7 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Very unlikely Euro will be this wrong vs the GFS Euro don’t know what it wants to do so it’s throwing every solution there has not been consistent and sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freezing Drizzle Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago NWS for central NJ (Mt. Holly) through the Five Boroughs (Upton) is going with a middle ground, 1-2 or 1-3 inches, forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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