North and West Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Wow youve never heard of that one. They called for a big storm off foot in advance than backed off to 1-3 well that day the amounts kept going up and up and up my first thundersnow and over 2 ft for me with alot of driftsI have, though I was too young for it. Just those three seem to be which all others are compared.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
liwxfan Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Feb 2013 (nemo) for suffolk county. Had 30 inches and constant thundersnow. I compare all storms to that one out here. More intense then 96 for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 GFS not backing down. Pretty much the same as 12z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 50 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: We really need this to turn into a drier snow or power outages are going to become a problem Not going to get dry snow with temps in mid 30s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T5403CG Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Feb 2013 (nemo) for suffolk county. Had 30 inches and constant thundersnow. I compare all storms to that one out here. More intense the 96 for me.I remember that... Commack 30+"... 5 miles north of me...I live on the south shore and it rained all day as it snowed to the north only a few miles away... They had 11" OTG when we finally flipped .. we wound up with 18", they had 32"...Only 5 miles north...Sent from my motorola edge 2024 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deathstar9 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 6 minutes ago, deathstar9 said: Kinda crazy modeling is showing a 1048 high north of WI/MI. Similar position and strength to the Feb 1978 high. Low though is going to be around 968 vs 984 in 1978. Speaks to the incredible gradient this storm will have. By comparison 1996 was 984 off NJ with a 1032 high though positioning of the high was different. This should have much more intense winds than 1996. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Nibor said: GFS not backing down. Pretty much the same as 12z Agree. Looks phenomenal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T5403CG Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 YowzaSent from my motorola edge 2024 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 this is just giving me BDB vibes. bombing low in the 960s in the perfect spot, insane dynamics. city is 14-20" at this point IMO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Lee Goldberg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Another bomb on the gfs. Let’s go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, EasternLI said: Agree. Looks phenomenal. its kind of the consensus right now between the more extreme mesos and the euro/canadians 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 5 minutes ago, Nibor said: GFS not backing down. Pretty much the same as 12z Switching to mesos soon. That's where the real intricacies will lie. An explosive storm like this will want to tuck further west. Nam might be closer than we think 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2/21 18z GFS Total QPF 2/22-2/23-24 Snow 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Stormlover74 said: its kind of the consensus right now between the more extreme mesos and the euro/canadians We definitely can lock in a foot since all the models have that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 9 minutes ago, NsWx516 said: Not sure if its been posted but New York has declared a State of Emergency Travel ban shouldn't be far behind now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 hours ago, SACRUS said: 2/21 18z Summary Total QPF NYC / Snow 10:1 NYC SREF: 2.1 / 19.6 NAM: 2.8 / 27.6 NAM 3K: 2.2 / 21.6 ICON: 1.3 / 12.9 RGEM: 1.1 / 11 GFS: 1.7 / 17.1 Updated GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxbear25 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 5 minutes ago, Nibor said: GFS not backing down. Pretty much the same as 12z Definiitely a noticeable tick SE, but not nearly enough to be problematic Realistically, the tracks arent THAT far off between the models, the GFS is just much more efficient at hurling that convection into the NW quadrant of the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2/21 GFS AI AIGFS Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 Snow 10:1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Wxbear25 said: Definiitely a noticeable tick SE, but not nearly enough to be problematic Realistically, the tracks arent THAT far off between the models, the GFS is just much more efficient at hurling that convection into the NW quadrant of the low Definitely agree with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 37 minutes ago, North and West said: Question I’ll pose, albeit may be too early: does this have some hallmarks of the granddaddies of the past, some that some of us have been alive for, some that we’ve only heard about? My initial thoughts: March 1888 February 1978 January 1996 Of course there are others, but those three are some inner-circle, first ballot HoFers. Thanks. I’ll hang up and listen. . Feb 1983 - Measured many hours of snow accompanied by wind gusts to 50 - 65 mph. Location- East Northport. Equipment- Downeaster Models are forecasting similar winds on LI. I have a Davis Vantage Vue on Fire Island and will be watching the reports there with great interest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Anyone have Upton maps? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 8 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Switching to mesos soon. That's where the real intricacies will lie. An explosive storm like this will want to tuck further west. Nam might be closer than we think Yes....let's bring the 00z globals in strong, and then focus on mesos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 15 minutes ago, liwxfan said: Feb 2013 (nemo) for suffolk county. Had 30 inches and constant thundersnow. I compare all storms to that one out here. More intense then 96 for me. Same was twice as bad as 96. Grinds car was abandoned on LIE cooling home from work. Nicolls road was closed for a day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, steve392 said: Anyone have Upton maps? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2.5" QPF on the GFS is acceptable lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2/21 18z UKMET Total QPF 2/22-2/23-24 Snow 1:1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 5 minutes ago, EasternLI said: 2.5" QPF on the GFS is acceptable lol I think what's at issue here is A: How much precip falls B: How much of that preceip is frozen I've seen anywhere from 1 inch to 3.5 inches of precip over NYC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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