MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Can’t wait to get Nam’d in the next 24 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 H5 on the NAM looks good. it digs a bit less which is better in this case and the trough is stronger and more negatively tilted. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Pretty close to textbook for a big Noreaster. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Closed off and stalled too quick again BUT later than 6z which allowed the storm to gain a little latitude. One more delay and we are good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 nam is going to tuck next run watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
njwx7 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Wherever this ultimately tracks, it's becoming clear that the precip cutoff on the NW side of this is going to be brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said: nam is going to tuck next run watch 971 low. Insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 NAM looks better with the backside vort phase, which is a big deal 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Bid deformation band incoming. Still looks like a Central Jersey special but this is well North of the last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, njwx7 said: Wherever this ultimately tracks, it's becoming clear that the precip cutoff on the NW side of this is going to be brutal. I think a 971 low would have a bigger precip field Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 6z had nothing north of ACY and now it's up to NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: NAM looks better with the backside vort phase, which is a big deal Just needs to gain a little latitude. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, EastonSN+ said: Just needs to gain a little latitude. It will long range nam and jus took a huge jump 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Slow moving system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Lol I get 2 inches. NAM beyond 48 hours so not as much weight as GFS and EURO yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Yes, we've been NAM-ed. Huge to see even if it's a bit out of its range (the important changes were mostly earlier). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 The reason for the sharp cutoff on the NW side is because the storm stacks and occludes around 12z on Monday. We could use another 50-75 mile shift NW to get into the high end stuff. You're also looking at near blizzard conditions for Long Island and coastal NJ. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Not a blizzard but definitely Winter Storm Warning criteria for the city metro with a general 8-10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, EastonSN+ said: Lol I get 2 inches. NAM beyond 48 hours so not as much weight as GFS and EURO yet. It’s adjusting. Rehoboth Beach isn’t getting 36” lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Fv3 with a huge trend north 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 watches by this afternoon for some areas 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Brian5671 said: watches by this afternoon for some areas i'd go with Blizzard warnings for NYC and east! 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said: i'd go with Blizzard warnings for NYC and east! Not yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: i'd go with Blizzard warnings for NYC and east! No. Even if a blizzard is likely, the criteria do not allow for a blizzard warning at the lead time involved. A Blizzard Warning means that the following conditions are occurring or expected within the next 12 to 18 hours. 1) Snow and/or blowing snow reducing visibility to 1/4 mile or less for 3 hours or longer AND 2) Sustained winds of 35 mph or greater or frequent gusts to 35 mph or greater. There is no temperature requirement that must be met to achieve blizzard conditions. https://www.weather.gov/lwx/warningsdefined#Blizzard Warning 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Blizzard criteria is very hard to meet these days. I don't see no watches or warnings for the B word being raised. We get Winter Storm Warnings and that's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Not yet At some point those of us NYC south and east don’t want this thing too much closer. Seen this movie before. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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