Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range

[winter_warlock]

Just now, BristowWx said:

not just that jump west but 995 to 971...I'd say that's a tick stronger

Yes it is!!! 

[Jake Wx]

5 minutes ago, bncho said:

@Jake Wx I was probably too quick to cancel this storm. I wasn't really paying any attention to h5 and didn't notice the 67 different vorts. There's gonna be a lot of variability due to that...

honestly me too but with these setups there's always going to be vitality and windshield wipers are common

[SnowenOutThere]

5 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Before the WB 12Z EURO suite runs:  AI since 12Z yesterday:

 

2 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Before the WB 12Z EURO runs since 12Z yesterday;

Both have Charlottesville only gaining snow run to run. #Trend #Snowtown 

[Jake Wx]

3 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Before the WB 12Z EURO runs since 12Z yesterday;

definite uptrend on it. lets see if it will continue 

[Weather Will]

Big runs for the EUROs: does the global continue to make a comeback or was 6Z just a blip?!

Did the AI stop the bleeding and stabilize/ or is it now on an upward trend?!

STAY TUNED!!!!!!

[NorthArlington101]

3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

 

Both have Charlottesville only gaining snow run to run. #Trend #Snowtown 

DC desperately wants to get #raleighed in this storm it seems. Hope not

[bncho]

Just now, Weather Will said:

Big runs for the EUROs: does the global continue to make a comeback or was 6Z just a blip?!

Did the AI stop the bleeding and stabilize/ or is it now on an upward trend?!

STAY TUNED!!!!!!

Thought this was a Jebman post

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Anyone got the 12z weathernext?

[Weather Will]

My friends define trend.  One better run is not a trend in my book.  You need several runs strung together consistently showing the same thing or continuing to move in the same direction.

[Solution Man]

8 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

DC desperately wants to get #raleighed in this storm it seems. Hope not

That was ugly

[Jake Wx]

15z nbm

[WesternFringe]

10 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

My friends define trend.  One better run is not a trend in my book.  You need several runs strung together consistently showing the same thing or continuing to move in the same direction.

You just posted 2 sets of maps from different models of 4 consecutive runs showing......trends.

[Scraff]

Ok. I think we’ve paid our dues and hit our deductible with Dr No. Now we’re sitting here in the waiting room to see Dr Yes. Come on doc! Fix us!! We’re all in pain. And oy! My back is killin me too. 

[GaWx]

27 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

Anyone got the 12z weathernext?

It will likely be awhile. Maybe after 2PM for Weathernext2.

[MDSnow93]

I still don't really understand the praise the Euro AI is getting.. I was really rooting for the crew that puts it on a pedestal, because it was one of, if not the last model giving us snow this past weekend. Here's what it was showing on Friday and Saturday for Sunday's storm. 

I'm pretty sure nobody in MD saw a single flake.

[Cobalt]

Just now, MDSnow93 said:

I still don't really understand the praise the Euro AI is getting.. I was really rooting for the crew that puts it on a pedestal, because it was one of, if not the last model giving us snow this past weekend. Here's what it was showing on Friday and Saturday for Sunday's storm. 

I'm pretty sure nobody in MD saw a single flake.

 

That's more of a thermals/snow depiction issue than a synoptics one. It was honestly pretty solid wrt to precip extent. 

[GaWx]

5 minutes ago, MDSnow93 said:

I still don't really understand the praise the Euro AI is getting.. I was really rooting for the crew that puts it on a pedestal, because it was one of, if not the last model giving us snow this past weekend. Here's what it was showing on Friday and Saturday for Sunday's storm. 

I'm pretty sure nobody in MD saw a single flake.

It is well-known that the Euro AIFS tends to show quite a bit too much snow and to thus not take it literally. Plus it shows as 10:1 instead of Kuchera on WB. Just look at it more for run to run trends is my recommendation. For amounts, I much prefer the regular Euro.

[bncho]

1 minute ago, MDSnow93 said:

I still don't really understand the praise the Euro AI is getting.. I was really rooting for the crew that puts it on a pedestal, because it was one of, if not the last model giving us snow this past weekend. Here's what it was showing on Friday and Saturday for Sunday's storm. 

I'm pretty sure nobody in MD saw a single flake.

You scared the shit out of me, I thought that was this weekend's forecast.

[Jake Wx]

2 minutes ago, MDSnow93 said:

I still don't really understand the praise the Euro AI is getting.. I was really rooting for the crew that puts it on a pedestal, because it was one of, if not the last model giving us snow this past weekend. Here's what it was showing on Friday and Saturday for Sunday's storm. 

I'm pretty sure nobody in MD saw a single flake.

you scared me, thought this was the new run lol

[Jake Wx]

euro is runnin 

[Benjamn3]

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, Jake Wx said:

you scared me, thought this was the new run lol

Who knows....maybe end up looking better than 12z! Lol

By the way, aren't Euros a bit late?

[stormtracker]

On duty and ready to serve.  Hopefully serving cold smoke and not cirrus smoke

[TSSN+]

Euro ai less impressive than 6z 

[baltosquid]

Euro AI more suppressed unfortunately

[Jake Wx]

2 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Who knows....maybe end up looking better than 12z! Lol

By the way, aren't Euros a bit late?

yes late for sure 

[MDSnow93]

5 minutes ago, GaWx said:

It is well-known that the Euro AIFS tends to show quite a bit too much snow and to thus not take it literally. Plus it shows as 10:1 instead of Kuchera on WB. Just look at it more for run to run trends is my recommendation. For amounts, I much prefer the regular Euro.

Well that's kind of what I'm saying. Why are we taking its snow maps seriously if that's a known issue?

[TSSN+]

Just now, baltosquid said:

Euro AI more suppressed unfortunately

It’s not been doing a good job on this one. Taking it with grain of salt like the rest.

[wasnow215]

Request to let @stormtracker do PBP on 12z eurowithout 8000 comments and thoughts in between please

[baltosquid]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

It’s not been doing a good job on this one. Taking it with grain of salt like the rest.

I mean it may well be that this is one of those particularly annoying setups where an AI model is just not gonna catch the details a deterministic one can. That’s the hope at least!