JTA66 Posted Sunday at 02:06 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:06 PM I think I see sun, 54F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted Sunday at 02:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:54 PM Crocus poking out already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted Sunday at 05:05 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:05 PM THIS is more typical weather around here…cold front comes through and temps go up 70F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted Sunday at 05:31 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:31 PM Clouds breaking, sun is shining now and quickly up 65F. I think we make a run at 70 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted Sunday at 05:32 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:32 PM CMC day 10 looks like March 1958 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted Sunday at 06:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:02 PM 28 minutes ago, RedSky said: CMC day 10 looks like March 1958 Big mess of mess that tries to form a low after the front. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted Sunday at 06:03 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:03 PM Beautiful day today finally! 68 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted Sunday at 06:05 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 06:05 PM 27 minutes ago, RedSky said: CMC day 10 looks like March 1958 Nope, nothing alike. The high temperature for the entire month of March 1958 was 54. We're at 72 on the 2 pm EDT observation. There isn't going to be a historic snowstorm around the vernal equinox. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted Sunday at 06:18 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:18 PM Not as historic but ECM OP has the snowstorm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Sunday at 06:36 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:36 PM 17 minutes ago, RedSky said: Not as historic but ECM OP has the snowstorm Euro AI and cmc also. Eps 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted Sunday at 06:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:41 PM 35 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: Nope, nothing alike. The high temperature for the entire month of March 1958 was 54. We're at 72 on the 2 pm EDT observation. There isn't going to be a historic snowstorm around the vernal equinox. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted Sunday at 08:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:01 PM I’d pay big money to have the end of the cmc verify. That was about to be a spring hecs ha.If we’re going to get a snowstorm it’ll probably be that wave around 18-19th. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted Sunday at 08:06 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:06 PM High temperature of 71F here today. Currently 70F with a cloudy sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted Sunday at 09:28 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:28 PM We finally hit 70! High of 72 here, nice day of false spring. Going to be hilarious when it gets cold again next weekend. Soak in the next 3 days because spring is looking toast after that for a bit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Sunday at 10:51 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:51 PM 2 hours ago, Heisy said: I’d pay big money to have the end of the cmc verify. That was about to be a spring hecs ha. If we’re going to get a snowstorm it’ll probably be that wave around 18-19th. Are we really doing this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Sunday at 10:52 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:52 PM 18 gfs says we track: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Sunday at 11:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:01 PM And a light followup event a day later. Weenie run: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Sunday at 11:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:17 PM Then a suppressed system just 2 days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted Sunday at 11:26 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:26 PM Quick hibernation eh Ralphie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Sunday at 11:37 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:37 PM 19 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Then a suppressed system just 2 days later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Sunday at 11:47 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:47 PM 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago Overnight and early morning runs said "Gotcha!!" There is one heck of a front coming through though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 2 hours ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Overnight and early morning runs said "Gotcha!!" There is one heck of a front coming through though. We were told there would be no historic spring blizzard reaching an extinction level event along the I-95 corridor but didn’t listen! Instead, we ran around like a bunch of cotton-headed-ninny-muggins’ gassing up snow blowers, hitting the grocery stores and itching to start a thread. When will we ever learn our lesson to not trust models post 300 hours?? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago A balmy high temperature of 74F here today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 10 hours ago, JTA66 said: We were told there would be no historic spring blizzard reaching an extinction level event along the I-95 corridor but didn’t listen! Instead, we ran around like a bunch of cotton-headed-ninny-muggins’ gassing up snow blowers, hitting the grocery stores and itching to start a thread. When will we ever learn our lesson to not trust models post 300 hours?? But it was only 240 hours that's like stone cold mortal lock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago On 3/8/2026 at 6:52 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: 18 gfs says we track: This threat has been ruined because the cutter got stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: This threat has been ruined because the cutter got stronger. Former local met Chris Sauers says we might as well sleep right thru next winter. Raging Nino with well AN temps basically start to finish. Mild and wet, little snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago way too early to even say things like that. Let him sleep while we dig out. Some of the biggest snowfalls ocucr during a raging Nino here. here is my proof. He needs to go to school The Lehigh Valley often sees its highest snowfall totals during El Niño years, which are historically linked to 8 of the 10 snowiest seasons on record for the region. El Niño patterns frequently bring increased moisture to the Mid-Atlantic, often resulting in major winter storms or "nor'easters". Snowiest El Niño Seasons The following winters occurred during El Niño phases and produced some of the highest total snowfall recorded at the Lehigh Valley International Airport (ABE): 1993–1994: 75.2 inches (The all-time record for seasonal snowfall). 2009–2010: 59.8 inches (Includes the "Snowmageddon" period). 2013–2014: 68.1 inches. 2020–2021: 58.1 inches. Notable Individual Storms (El Niño Related) Major single-storm events in the Lehigh Valley often align with these patterns: January 22–23, 2016: 31.7 inches — The biggest two-day snowfall in Lehigh Valley history (often referred to as "Snowzilla" or Winter Storm Jonas). February 1–2, 2021: 27.3 inches — The second-largest recorded snowfall event. February 11–12, 1983: 25.2 inches — A massive nor'easter during a strong El Niño year. March 13–14, 1993: 17.6 inches — Known as the "Storm of the Century". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 2009-10 is the only one of those seasons that was really el nino. 1993-94 and 2013-14 were ENSO neutrals, and 2020-21 was a deep moderate la nina. The 1983 and 2016 storms are the only ones that were in el nino. The 1993 storm was an ENSO neutral, and the 2021 one was in that deep moderate la nina of 20-21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted 51 minutes ago Share Posted 51 minutes ago 29 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: 2009-10 is the only one of those seasons that was really el nino. 1993-94 and 2013-14 were ENSO neutrals, and 2020-21 was a deep moderate la nina. The 1983 and 2016 storms are the only ones that were in el nino. The 1993 storm was an ENSO neutral, and the 2021 one was in that deep moderate la nina of 20-21. I guess the point I am making, is all of the years were either were going in or out of an el nino. It really does not matter until late october or early November anyway to call the upcoming winter. SST and the SJS controll the el nino anaywat. The best way to know is wait until late Novmeber and if Baja LP go to the 4 corners- watch out baby for Miller A's. The place that gets hosed the worst in the US is the mid south- some of the worst winter tornadoes in the country occur in November and December in the Memphis area in a raging el nino. I have experienced that too-- the infamous W Memphis Tornado in 1987 with massive flooding right after. The only time I witnessed 18 wheelers stacked on the second floor of a hotel after the tornado hit the truck stop and the huge I 40/55 interstate overhead signs twisted like licorice. What gets me is in all of those years above, I also had to shovel out in every one of those storms - el nino or not. To make outragous predictions this far in advance is complete stupidity. I guess that is why he is on TV In the case of our Oceanic Niño Index (ONI), there was one really oddball El Niño episode that maximized during the late summer/early fall in 1987. This El Niño is also unusual because it spanned two consecutive winters (1986-87 and 1987-88). https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=850325316247225 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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