E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion

[JTA66]

We need the rain, but I wouldn't mind a mild, dry March so I can do yard clean up before mowing season gets underway.

[RedSky]

4 hours ago, JTA66 said:

We need the rain, but I wouldn't mind a mild, dry March so I can do yard clean up before mowing season gets underway.

March looks wet as hell gone need the mud boots

 

 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

[Voyager]

On 2/25/2026 at 1:21 PM, RedSky said:

Today's euro mega torches after next Wednesday, a week of false spring?

 

I don't want to hear about false spring. I want real spring.

Also, gotta ask, why is it that when the PV splits, it always beelines it for east and not the West?

[JTA66]

September is only 6 months away, 189 days until Labor Day! Kids will be back in school, the NFL will be getting underway and Lowe's & Home Depot will have Christmas decorations out! We'll be tracking again before long!

[RedSky]

GFS and ECM backdoor Friday&Saturday and keep it in the low to mid 40's 

 

[The Iceman]

4 hours ago, RedSky said:

GFS and ECM backdoor Friday&Saturday and keep it in the low to mid 40's 

 

Shocker with the water temps. I know people want the warmth, I’m among them, but it’s going to be a struggle to see serious sustained warmth.

[Hurricane Agnes]

Even with the "threatening" radar, am only getting some drizzle and graupel (with the latter only barely visible on cold surfaces).  Currently 33 with dp 29.

[Physicsteve]

Had a little sleet to start and now plain drizzle. Like Agnes, very light rates so far. 

[The Iceman]

Damn I missed the snow or sleet to start. Or it was just rain the entire time 

[Blue Dream]

19 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Damn I missed the snow or sleet to start. Or it was just rain the entire time 

It snowed for about 5 minutes before changing to rain lol.

[ChescoWx]

Sleet for about an hour and now been steady ZR since than as of 9am freezing rain and 30.8 degrees. Deck is of course a sheet of ice

[JTA66]

I didn't see anything frozen fall, but there's a light coating of crud on my car's windshield.

[ChescoWx]

Still freezing rain but temp now up to 31.8

[The Iceman]

Next two weeks are looking more wet than anything else. Drought is going to be busted by mid month. You can tell the pacific and gulf moisture feed aimed at our area on the ensembles. I’d expect 2-3 1”+ qpf events in the next 2 weeks. 
 

[Birds~69]

3 hours ago, JTA66 said:

I didn't see anything frozen fall, but there's a light coating of crud on my car's windshield.

Some stuff on the the mulch areas but that's about it. We are going to torch starting around Sunday... 

35f/misty and low clouds, pretty dark out there.

[Physicsteve]

2 hours ago, The Iceman said:

Next two weeks are looking more wet than anything else. Drought is going to be busted by mid month. You can tell the pacific and gulf moisture feed aimed at our area on the ensembles. I’d expect 2-3 1”+ qpf events in the next 2 weeks. 
 

The second of those weeks could be our last trackable window, say 3/15-20. 
 

eta: fantasy land caveats apply

[Heisy]

The second of those weeks could be our last trackable window, say 3/15-20. 
 
eta: fantasy land caveats apply

Signal for a nice +PNA growing on euro guidance. It’s more muted on GFS/GEFS. Without blocking though wed need well timed waves. Shortwaves timed right after a cold front. Significant snow likely a long shot, but we’re going to get some decent cold shots if this is legit.

[Heisy]

18z euro Ai has 2 snow events in this range

[Heisy]

18z euro Ai has 2 snow events in this range

[RedSky]

3 hours ago, Heisy said:

Signal for a nice +PNA growing on euro guidance. It’s more muted on GFS/GEFS. Without blocking though wed need well timed waves. Shortwaves timed right after a cold front. Significant snow likely a long shot, but we’re going to get some decent cold shots if this is legit.

Predicted three weeks ago if verified

[Birds~69]

36f, slug of rain.

 

 

 

 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

3 hours ago, Heisy said:

18z euro Ai has 2 snow events in this range

We all know that isn't going to happen. The sun angle is too high and the ground/temps are too warm. Any precip that falls from now until October will be rain.

[The Iceman]

2 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

We all know that isn't going to happen. The sun angle is too high and the ground/temps are too warm. Any precip that falls from now until October will be rain.

Nope it has never snowed here in late March, never happens 

[MJO812]

4 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

We all know that isn't going to happen. The sun angle is too high and the ground/temps are too warm. Any precip that falls from now until October will be rain.

Are you related to snowman19? You have been wrong on everything this winter. 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Are you related to snowman19? You have been wrong on everything this winter. 

No, but anyone with common sense knows that there won't be 2 snow events post-March 10. That's only happened once ever (in 2018), and temperatures had cooled long before that. We won't get 2 snow events after this warmup.

Besides, I haven't been wrong on everything this winter. I did say December would be below average temperaturewise, and I called this March warmup at least a month in advance.