NorthHillsWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, BornAgain13 said: I think the key is "certainly worth monitoring." It has potential to be a small to moderate event. This is a little different than the cold chasing moisture event a couple weeks ago. In this case the front has already passed through and there’s a secondary LP developing in the colder air. The airmass isn’t nearly as cold as the last couple we’ve used and it’s always delayed over the mountains but I wouldn’t call this a “classic” case of cold chasing moisture 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 13 minutes ago, WXNewton said: Rgem has some 5-6 in totals now in northern Central NC! Great Caesar’s Ghost! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said: Someone may get NAM’d tomorrow afternoon. It seemed to my faulty memory that secondary lows were common in the 70s and they were always good for a couple of inches. If current trends continue someone will get EURO’d tonight lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 18 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: This is a little different than the cold chasing moisture event a couple weeks ago. In this case the front has already passed through and there’s a secondary LP developing in the colder air. The airmass isn’t nearly as cold as the last couple we’ve used and it’s always delayed over the mountains but I wouldn’t call this a “classic” case of cold chasing moisture I agree with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 18z GFS increases a little more from 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago GFS also improved at 500. Much more expansive precip 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, NorthHillsWx said: GFS also improved at 500. Much more expensive precip Yeah it's great to see that we could get accumulating snow even with the less amplified solutions knowing that a more amplified look would increase rates and crash temps even faster. That is, if the trough can stay sufficiently far south 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago The AI GFS looks nice too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Trend on 18z GFS is there for sure! This thing is looking good for border counties into S.VA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 35 minutes ago, Snowncanes said: I agree with RAH this is a classic cold chasing moisture. Just like 3 weekends ago. I’ll believe it when I see it lol. Youre not sucking me in again Yep. 15 minutes of snow after hours of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago When does the next WeatherNext come out.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago AI Models look really good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADB83 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago When does the next WeatherNext come out.?Usually about 8 PM. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 18z GEFS solid again with a slight uptick 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Good trends on 500 mb energy. Almost went neutral this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago It’s funny because this upcoming possibility was showing on models last Wednesday or Thursday, then sort of declined over the next couple of days, only to come back yesterday 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 13 minutes ago, WXNewton said: Good trends on 500 mb energy. Almost went neutral this run. Getting close to something more significant there… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 15 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Getting close to something more significant there… Ensembles hinted at this snow potential for a while albeit positive tilt. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 17 minutes ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said: Ensembles hinted at this snow potential for a while albeit positive tilt. Yea they have. Recent runs have been slightly less positive tilt though and we’re seeing a slower progression/more backing of the precip bc of it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: It’s funny because this upcoming possibility was showing on models last Wednesday or Thursday, then sort of declined over the next couple of days, only to come back yesterday Had it not been for the last storm, we would have been obsessing over this one all week. We all kind of forgot about it haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: Had it not been for the last storm, we would have been obsessing over this one all week. We all kind of forgot about it haha Now we can just obsess over it for 2.5 days instead! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Alright well fuck it. Here is the 18z Euro: 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 18z Euro...trended the last 3 runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I took a break today from the forum and come back to a thread pages deep about this storm. Ain’t mad at it! Let’s eat again before the pattern relaxes! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADB83 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I took a break today from the forum and come back to a thread pages deep about this storm. Ain’t mad at it! Let’s eat again before the pattern relaxes!Welcome back! Yeah, I think last good chance here for a bit as we look like we’re gonna warm up mid month. Have to get it while you can. I’ll take another inch and not complain. Maybe Raleigh can squeeze two or three they deserve it. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Here we go again … 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Im f*ing exhausted but lets run this back. Thought we had a break from model watching, this winter has been nuts. Raleigh needs the 18z euro like peanut butter needs jelly 4 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS is latching onto a little lee enhancement over the southern Piedmont. Stop me if you’ve seen this before 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted 53 minutes ago Share Posted 53 minutes ago Good luck NC/VA peeps 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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